Alumis Inc. (ALMS) — Biotechnology. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ALMS earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.28M · 3-mo avg 2.73M

Alumis Inc. (ALMS)

ALMSAlumis Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 43/100 · Nov 6
$6.00
near a recent low, a support level and a heavy put-option level · Nov 6
$7.00
near the top of its usual range and a heavy call-option level · midpoint $7.00 · Nov 6
±$0.84
±14.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume33% below normal0.67× its 20-day average
Past year's range$4.59 – $31.35lowest to highest price
From its peak80.8% belowpeak $31.35, highest since 2024
Gain vs. risk1.05 to 1$1.05 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$5.11the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$7.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)33.9washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profitno profit to compare
Cash it generates-47.4%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 3.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Drawdown risk — high
RSI 14
✓
33.9
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$8.13
below the line
Bollinger
●
$5.86
no lower pierce · fires near $5.81
VWAP 20
✓
$6.54
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$6.00
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$6.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.17
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.67×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
12.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.44
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-12
in 4 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file