Alumis Inc. (ALMS) — Biotechnology. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ALMS earnings history

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 616.7K · 3-mo avg 2.31M

Alumis Inc. (ALMS)

ALMSAlumis Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileCautionHeavy selling · 54/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$7.78
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$22.32
center $22.32 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.06
52.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 66% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.19× the norm · 94% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: hot selling
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 66% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.79×
52-week range$3.76 – $31.35
Below high since 2024-75.1% · $31.35 high
Risk / reward11.62 : 1
Plan stop$6.53
Max pain$15.00 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1419.5 oversold
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiplen.m. — no profit expected
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-36.4% · burning cash

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 1.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 69% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
19.5
oversold
vs 50-day
$22.36
below the line
Bollinger
$1.60
no lower pierce
VWAP 20
$10.79
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$7.78
below the model level
Put wall
$20.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.42
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.79×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.77
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-12
in 40 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file