Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. (AKBA) — $0.84 −7.24%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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AKBApeers & supply-chain relationships

AKBA fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.42M · Avg 5.21M
AKBAAkebia Therapeutics, Inc.$0.84-7.24%

WAIT.

A falling knife — never catch it mid-drop.

The stock is still dropping hard on heavy volume with no support underneath. 4 of 4 entry triggers may be firing, but a live slide overrides them — that is exactly the setup this check exists for. It does not call the bottom; it says the drop is not finished.

QTick signal
-3net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 1 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
4 of 4 aligned — not yet
A falling knife — the guard overrides the entry triggers.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileRiskFalling-knife phase · 100/100 · was 2 on Aug 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
model abstained · segment micro
Target exit
model abstained · segment micro
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
~99% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.62× · 8.42M vs 5.21M avg
52-week range$0.82 – $3.44
Below high since 2015-96.0% · $21.22 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop
Max pain
RSI 1425.1 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$0.84
$0.68 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+21.7% · $1.03+21.7%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers4 of 4 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
25.1
oversold
vs 50-day
$1.15
below the line
Bollinger
$0.94
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$1.12
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
not on file
Put wall
not on file
MACD
-0.06
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.62×
elevated versus recent average
Short int.Static
7.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.09
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 4 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
9 Nov 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 89 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed