American International Group, Inc. (AIG) — $77.16 −0.58%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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AIG fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 7, 2026 · 1:50 PM ETVol 469.4K · Avg 3.94M
AIGAmerican International Group, Inc.$77.16-0.58%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.8× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$77.22
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$86–87
center $86.21 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.89
5.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.12× · 469.4K vs 3.94M avg
52-week range$71.25 – $87.29
Below high since 2015-11.9% · $88.07 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.7
Plan stop$73.85
Max pain$79.00 options cluster
RSI 1445.4 fires under 35 · fires near $73.21
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$77.16
$72.74 · -5.7%-5.7%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.0% · $81.05+5.0%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
45.4
fires under 35 · fires near $73.21
vs 50-day
$77.14
at the line
Bollinger
$77.07
no lower pierce · fires near $77.02
VWAP 20
$79.07
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$77.22
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$76.00
OI strike below · fires near $76.36
MACD
-0.13
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.12×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.68
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 84 days
Next dividend
USD 0.50
ex-date 2026-09-16
prices 15-min delayed