Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) — Diversified Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ACGLpeers & supply-chain relationships

ACGL earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 3.69M · 3-mo avg 2.49M

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)

ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 35/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$94.19
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$96–97
center $96.35 · basis · daily pivot + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 4% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 4% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.88×
52-week range$82.45 – $107.09
Below high since 2015-18.7% · $116.47 high
Risk / reward0.37 : 1
Plan stop$90.06
Max pain—
RSI 1436.8 fires under 35 · fires near $94.13
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple9.8× fwd · 7.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past12th pctile · 8.8× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
36.8
fires under 35 · fires near $94.13
vs 50-day
✓
$98.85
below the line
Bollinger
●
$93.99
no lower pierce · fires near $93.78
VWAP 20
✓
$96.99
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$94.19
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.15
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.85
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-26
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file