Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) — $75.96 +0.02%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

AGOpeers & supply-chain relationships

AGO fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 34.8K · Avg 385.1K
AGOAssured Guaranty Ltd.$75.96+0.02%

STRIKE.

The entry triggers have lined up — the pullback you set the alert for. This is your entry.

5 of 5 entry triggers are firing at once, clearing the 3-of-5 screen rule.

QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
5 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
Entry conditions met — this is the setup.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$75.56
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$79–81
center $80.00 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
~87% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.09× · 34.8K vs 385.1K avg
52-week range$73.46 – $92.40
Below high since 2015-21.4% · $96.60 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.0
Plan stop$71.18
Max pain
RSI 1429.8 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$75.96
$71.73 · -5.6%-5.6%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.6% · $80.18+5.6%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers5 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
29.8
oversold
vs 50-day
$80.17
below the line
Bollinger
$77.80
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$83.01
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$75.56
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
-0.20
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.09×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
6.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.11
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 85 days
Next dividend
2.00% yld
no ex-date on file
Appears in
prices 15-min delayed