MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) — Specialty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.03M · 3-mo avg 1.84M

MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG)

MTGMGIC Investment Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 65/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$28.34
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$30.25
center $30.25 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.50
5.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.96×
52-week range$24.69 – $31.89
Below high since 2015-10.7% · $31.89 high
Risk / reward1.14 : 1
Plan stop$26.92
Max pain$30.00 options cluster
RSI 1427.2 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.2× fwd · 8.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past70th pctile · 7.7× median
Price / book1.13×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
27.2
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$30.29
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$28.50
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$30.06
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$28.34
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$30.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.24
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.96×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.71
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
2.39% yld
no ex-date on file