MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) — Specialty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 9:46 AM ETVol 23.5K · 3-mo avg 2.13M

MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG)

MTGMGIC Investment Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$28.36
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$28.76
near a resistance level and the 50-day average · midpoint $28.76 · Nov 9
±$3.06
±10.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Low
61% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.8× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume45% above normal1.45× its 20-day average
Past year's range$24.69 – $31.89lowest to highest price
From its peak10.6% belowpeak $31.89, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.06 to 1$0.06 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$26.09the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$30.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)50.2fires under 35 · fires near $26.30
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit8.3× next year8.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 98%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 7.7×

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
50.2
fires under 35 · fires near $26.30
vs 50-day
✓
$28.76
at the line
Bollinger
●
$27.01
no lower pierce · fires near $26.75
VWAP 20
●
$28.29
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $28.28
Entry level
✓
$28.36
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$25.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.23
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.45×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.85
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-08
in 60 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.17
ex-date 2026-11-12