MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) — $30.63 +1.19%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

MTGpeers & supply-chain relationships

MTG fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 318.9K · Avg 1.94M
MTGMGIC Investment Corporation$30.63+1.19%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

0 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
0 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$30.12
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$31.71
center $31.71 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.78
12.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~58% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.7× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.16× · 318.9K vs 1.94M avg
52-week range$24.78 – $30.63
Below high since 2015-5.1% · $31.89 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.0
Plan stop$28.56
Max pain$35.00 options cluster
RSI 1463.1 fires under 35 · fires near $27.70
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$30.63
$26.85 · -12.3%-12.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+12.3% · $34.41+12.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
63.1
fires under 35 · fires near $27.70
vs 50-day
$27.79
above the line · fires near $28.01
Bollinger
$28.08
no lower pierce · fires near $27.72
VWAP 20
$29.62
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $29.61
Entry level
$30.12
level below · fires near $30.42
Put wall
$30.00
OI strike below · fires near $30.13
MACD
-0.10
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.16×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
6.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.78
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026
· in 77 days
Next dividend
1.96% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed