American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) — Apparel Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AEOpeers & supply-chain relationships

AEO fair-value estimate

AEO earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 4.45M · 3-mo avg 5.44M

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO)

AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 2/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$16.50
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$27.93
center $27.93 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (5/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.58×
52-week range$14.06 – $28.46
Below high since 2015-58.0% · $39.45 high
Risk / reward7.34 : 1
Plan stop$15.03
Max pain—
RSI 1454.8 fires under 35 · fires near $13.99
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple8.0× fwd · 7.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past20th pctile · 15.2× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 3.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
54.8
fires under 35 · fires near $13.99
vs 50-day
✓
$16.70
at the line
Bollinger
●
$14.19
no lower pierce · fires near $13.85
VWAP 20
●
$15.81
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $15.80
Entry level
✓
$16.50
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.11
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.58×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
10.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-01
in 47 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
3.02% yld
no ex-date on file