Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) — Apparel Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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BURLpeers & supply-chain relationships

BURL fair-value estimate

BURL earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.00M · 3-mo avg 1.47M

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL)

BURLBurlington Stores, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 13/100 · Nov 6
$245.53
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$249–254
near a resistance level, the options pressure point, a round-number price and the 50-day average · midpoint $251.62 · Nov 6
±$19.15
±7.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume23% below normal0.77× its 20-day average
Past year's range$226.85 – $378.33lowest to highest price
From its peak34.8% belowpeak $378.33, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.22 to 1$0.22 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$224.21the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$250.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)45.3fires under 35 · fires near $223.92
Accounting warning signs3worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.1× next year22.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 0%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 36.6×
Cash it generates1.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
45.3
fires under 35 · fires near $223.92
vs 50-day
✓
$254.77
below the line
Bollinger
●
$228.69
no lower pierce · fires near $224.80
VWAP 20
✓
$251.34
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$245.53
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.06
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.77×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$10.05
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-27
in 14 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file