Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) — Retail REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ADC fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 3:43 PM ETVol 1.84M · 3-mo avg 1.40M

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC)

ADCAgree Realty Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-1net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileCautionHeavy selling · 57/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$66.84
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$74.19
center $74.19 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
0.92× the norm · 72% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: hot selling
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.15×
52-week range$66.50 – $82.08
Below high since 2015-18.2% · $82.08 high
Risk / reward2.17 : 1
Plan stop$64.39
Max pain—
RSI 1415.9 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple34.8× fwd · 36.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past68th pctile · 42.3× median
Price / booknot on file

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 72% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
15.9
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$74.37
below the line
Bollinger
●
$66.50
no lower pierce · fires near $66.19
VWAP 20
✓
$70.61
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$66.84
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.23
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.15×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-20
in 17 sessions
Next dividend
4.74% yld
no ex-date on file