Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 33/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$41.52
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$64–65
center $64.62 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.22
7.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.93×
52-week range$37.89 – $65.20
Below high since 2015-81.7% · $228.24 high
Risk / reward6.24 : 1
Plan stop$38.06
Max pain$42.00 options cluster
RSI 1439.6 fires under 35 · fires near $40.00
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple10.6× fwd · 23.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past73rd pctile · 21.4× median
Free cash flow yield-11.8% · burning cash
Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.
Entry strategy · 10 triggers
4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
Momentum gauge, 0–100. A low reading describes losses dominating recent gains; it does not predict a reversal. Recomputed at the what-if price from the served daily tape.
RSI 14
●
39.6
fires under 35 · fires near $40.00
vs 50-day
The average close across 50 sessions. Trading at or below it describes price location versus the recent trend; it is not evidence that buyers will defend the line.
vs 50-day
✓
$49.24
below the line
Bollinger
A 20-session volatility envelope. A lower-band pierce describes an unusually low price relative to that recent distribution; it does not guarantee mean reversion. The band re-forms around the what-if price.
Bollinger
●
$40.60
no lower pierce · fires near $40.30
VWAP 20
A 20-session rolling VWAP approximated from daily typical price and volume, not an intraday session anchor. Being below it is a price-location descriptor, not a forecast.
VWAP 20
✓
$42.79
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
The entry reference published by the audited level composer from the stock's support zone. It is a model level, not an instruction or guaranteed floor.
Entry level
✓
$41.52
within 1% of model level
Put wall
The strike with the largest put open interest in the stored chain snapshot. It is an options-positioning reference, not verified price support.
Put wall
✓
$42.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Momentum-shift gauge shown as context, not part of the alignment rule. Recomputed at the what-if price when the served daily tape is usable.
MACD
Context✓
+0.26
histogram above zero · rising
RVol
That session's volume against this name's own average over the last 20 sessions. Above about 1.5x is unusually active for this name and below about 0.7x unusually quiet; heavy volume says a lot of shares changed hands, never which way the next move goes. A hypothetical price cannot create volume, so this tile holds steady as the slider moves.
RVolStatic
0.93×
in line with its own normal
Short int.
Shares sold short as a percentage of float. The 20% threshold is a crowding descriptor, not a forecast of a squeeze. This value updates on the reporting cadence.
Short int.Static
17.2%
short interest below 20%
ATR
Average true range describes the stock's recent daily price range. It is informational and does not enter the alignment count.
ATRStatic
$1.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.