YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) — Integrated Oil & Gas. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 806.7K · 3-mo avg 1.27M

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF)

YPFYPF Sociedad Anónimaloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$51.84
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$54–56
center $55.00 · basis · call wall + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.04
5.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.60×
52-week range$23.02 – $57.87
Below high since 2015-10.0% · $57.87 high
Risk / reward0.68 : 1
Plan stop$47.84
Max pain$45.00 options cluster
RSI 1445.8 fires under 35 · fires near $47.94
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple9.7× fwd · 28.1× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-0.6% · burning cash

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 2.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 33% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
45.8
fires under 35 · fires near $47.94
vs 50-day
✓
$51.88
at the line
Bollinger
●
$50.39
no lower pierce · fires near $49.89
VWAP 20
✓
$54.31
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$51.84
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$38.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.07
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.60×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.00
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 25 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file