YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) — Integrated Oil & Gas. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.04M · 3-mo avg 1.23M

YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF)

YPFYPF Sociedad Anónimaloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 100/100 · was 98 on Nov 6 · Nov 100/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$37.09
near a support level · Nov 10
$50–51
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $50.15 · Nov 10
±$0.04
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 26% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 26% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume24% below normal0.76× its 20-day average
Past year's range$32.74 – $57.87lowest to highest price
From its peak35.6% belowpeak $57.87, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.63 to 1$2.63 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$32.38the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$38.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)21.2oversold
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit6.2× next year6.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 100%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 3.7×
Cash it generates-0.8%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 77% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
21.2
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$50.26
below the line
Bollinger
●
$36.65
no lower pierce · fires near $36.40
VWAP 20
✓
$45.47
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$37.09
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-1.14
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.76×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.36
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-11
in 63 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file