Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) — Specialty REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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WY fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.13M · 3-mo avg 5.60M

Weyerhaeuser Company (WY)

WYWeyerhaeuser Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 100/100 · as of 2026-09-251/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$19.91
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$23.34
center $23.34 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.36
6.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.01× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.10×
52-week range$19.91 – $27.75
Below high since 2015-53.3% · $42.86 high
Risk / reward2.95 : 1
Plan stop$18.88
Max pain$22.00 options cluster
RSI 1423.6 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple29.8× fwd · 30.3× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-2.6% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 75% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
23.6
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$23.39
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$20.13
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$21.97
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$19.91
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$22.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.17
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.10×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.52
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
4.20% yld
no ex-date on file