Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) — Specialty REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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WY fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.35M · 3-mo avg 7.28M

Weyerhaeuser Company (WY)

WYWeyerhaeuser Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$21.02
near a support level · Nov 9
$23.20
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $23.20 · Nov 9
±$0.01
±0.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume19% below normal0.81× its 20-day average
Past year's range$18.26 – $27.75lowest to highest price
From its peak50.7% belowpeak $42.86, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.36 to 1$1.36 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$19.61the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$21.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)57.5fires under 35 · fires near $17.51
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit48.7× next year33.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 49%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 33.6×
Cash it generates-2.5%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 39% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
57.5
fires under 35 · fires near $17.51
vs 50-day
●
$20.50
above the line · fires near $20.69
Bollinger
●
$18.15
no lower pierce · fires near $17.83
VWAP 20
●
$20.04
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $20.02
Entry level
✓
$21.02
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.31
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.81×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.71
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-28
in 54 sessions
Next dividend
3.98% yld
no ex-date on file