Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) — Building Products & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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WMSpeers & supply-chain relationships

WMS fair-value estimate

WMS earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 957.7K · 3-mo avg 762.1K

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS)

WMSAdvanced Drainage Systems, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 29/100 · Nov 9
$130.35
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$140–143
near the top of its usual range, a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $141.88 · Nov 9
±$0.08
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume12% above normal1.12× its 20-day average
Past year's range$119.53 – $179.32lowest to highest price
From its peak28.9% belowpeak $184.27, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.86 to 1$0.86 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$118.44the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$110.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)49.9fires under 35 · fires near $114.63
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.2× next year23.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 45%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 23.9×
Cash it generates5.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 5.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
49.9
fires under 35 · fires near $114.63
vs 50-day
✓
$129.86
at the line
Bollinger
●
$120.92
no lower pierce · fires near $119.06
VWAP 20
●
$129.76
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $129.70
Entry level
✓
$130.35
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$80.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context●
-0.42
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.12×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.96
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.20
ex-date 2026-12-01