Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) — Rental & Leasing Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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WLFC fair-value estimate

WLFC earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 159.0K · 3-mo avg 256.7K

Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC)

WLFCWillis Lease Finance Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$54.06
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$59–60
center $59.75 · basis · call wall + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.06
7.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.95×
52-week range$38.00 – $81.54
Below high since 2015-76.9% · $235.43 high
Risk / reward1.41 : 1
Plan stop$50.48
Max pain$55.00 options cluster
RSI 1443.2 fires under 35 · fires near $52.50
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple7.9× fwd · 13.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past63rd pctile · 9.6× median
Free cash flow yield-71.2% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
43.2
fires under 35 · fires near $52.50
vs 50-day
✓
$59.16
below the line
Bollinger
●
$52.69
no lower pierce · fires near $52.33
VWAP 20
✓
$54.99
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$54.06
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$55.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.19
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.95×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
67.0%
67.0% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$1.79
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
0.98% yld
no ex-date on file