AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) — Rental & Leasing Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 10:26 AM ETVol 958.2K · 3-mo avg 1.08M

AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER)

AERAerCap Holdings N.V.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$148.46
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$158–159
center $158.38 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.71× the norm · 47% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.83×
52-week range$118.96 – $158.81
Below high since 2015-6.0% · $158.81 high
Risk / reward1.13 : 1
Plan stop$141.08
Max pain—
RSI 1460.2 fires under 35 · fires near $136.18
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.1× fwd · 7.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past30th pctile · 7.1× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.2
fires under 35 · fires near $136.18
vs 50-day
●
$147.53
above the line · fires near $148.95
Bollinger
●
$138.26
no lower pierce · fires near $137.75
VWAP 20
●
$143.55
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $143.48
Entry level
✓
$148.46
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.76
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.83×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.95
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
1.07% yld
no ex-date on file
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