AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) — Rental & Leasing Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:45 PM ETVol 698.3K · 3-mo avg 1.10M

AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER)

AERAerCap Holdings N.V.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileCautionOverheated rally · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$174.55
near a support level · Nov 9
$176–178
near a resistance level and the 52-week high · midpoint $176.70 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
80% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume9% above normal1.09× its 20-day average
Past year's range$129.85 – $175.58lowest to highest price
From its peak0.7% belowpeak $176.70, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.09 to 1$0.09 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$162.66the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)82.8overbought
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit8.9× next year8.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 82%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 7.1×

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
82.8
overbought
vs 50-day
●
$148.02
above the line · fires near $148.82
Bollinger
●
$134.99
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$155.83
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $155.77
Entry level
✓
$174.55
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.95
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.09×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.68
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-05
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
0.91% yld
no ex-date on file