Welltower Inc. (WELL) — $235.04 −0.79%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

WELLpeers & supply-chain relationships

WELL fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:04 PM ETVol 1.42M · Avg 3.55M
WELLWelltower Inc.$235.04-0.79%

WAIT.

Not a dip-buy setup — the evidence leans bearish.

The net signal reads -3 — more evidence points down than up, so buying this dip is catching a falling stock, not finding value. 2 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-3net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
2 of 5 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.2× · n=37OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$233.86
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$254–257
center $255.20 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.40× · 1.42M vs 3.55M avg
52-week range$161.26 – $255.20
Below high since 2015-7.9% · $255.20 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.8
Plan stop$222.22
Max pain
RSI 1449.6 fires under 35 · fires near $219.05
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$235.04
$217.64 · -7.4%-7.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.0% · $246.68+5.0%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
49.6
fires under 35 · fires near $219.05
vs 50-day
$226.31
above the line · fires near $228.41
Bollinger
$228.56
no lower pierce · fires near $226.88
VWAP 20
$239.72
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$233.86
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
-1.72
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.40×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
3.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.82
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
26 Oct 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 76 days
Next dividend
1.45% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed