CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) — Healthcare REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CTREpeers & supply-chain relationships

CTRE fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.02M · 3-mo avg 2.50M

CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE)

CTRECareTrust REIT, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-7net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · moderate
Bull 1 pts·Bear 8 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$38.65
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 10
$40.00
near a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $40.00 · Nov 10
±$3.94
±10.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Low
58% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.7× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume22% below normal0.78× its 20-day average
Past year's range$34.74 – $43.62lowest to highest price
From its peak11.0% belowpeak $43.62, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.43 to 1$0.43 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$36.12the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$37.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)63.0fires under 35 · fires near $33.07
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.7× next year24.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 3%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 37.0×
Cash it generates3.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
63.0
fires under 35 · fires near $33.07
vs 50-day
●
$37.12
above the line · fires near $37.45
Bollinger
●
$34.90
no lower pierce · fires near $34.83
VWAP 20
●
$36.77
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $36.74
Entry level
✓
$38.65
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$35.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.31
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.78×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.96
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
reported last session · reaction session open
Next dividend
4.02% yld
no ex-date on file