CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) — $40.42 −1.94%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CTREpeers & supply-chain relationships

CTRE fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.29M · Avg 2.74M
CTRECareTrust REIT, Inc.$40.42-1.94%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$40.22
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$43–44
center $43.62 · basis · bb upper + high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.09
0.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~61% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.8× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.84× · 2.29M vs 2.74M avg
52-week range$32.25 – $43.62
Below high since 2015-7.3% · $43.62 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.8
Plan stop$38.28
Max pain$40.00 options cluster
RSI 1443.7 fires under 35 · fires near $38.70
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$40.42
$32.34 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+0.2% · $40.51+0.2%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
43.7
fires under 35 · fires near $38.70
vs 50-day
$40.01
above the line · fires near $40.37
Bollinger
$39.92
no lower pierce · fires near $39.76
VWAP 20
$41.82
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$40.22
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$32.50
OI strike below · fires near $32.64
MACD
-0.30
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.84×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
12.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.97
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
9 Nov 2026
· in 90 days
Next dividend
3.86% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed