Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) — Resorts & Casinos. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 245.6K · 3-mo avg 483.8K

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC)

VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 41/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$102.31
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$104–106
center $104.81 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$7.89
7.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.49×
52-week range$44.58 – $131.34
Below high since 2015-46.4% · $191.90 high
Risk / reward0.24 : 1
Plan stop$94.58
Max pain$95.00 options cluster
RSI 1448.9 fires under 35 · fires near $91.78
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple10.7× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-0.8% · burning cash

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 2.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
48.9
fires under 35 · fires near $91.78
vs 50-day
✓
$105.16
below the line
Bollinger
●
$96.62
no lower pierce · fires near $95.41
VWAP 20
●
$101.90
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $101.88
Entry level
✓
$102.31
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$95.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context✓
+0.02
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.49×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
6.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.80
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
3.11% yld
no ex-date on file