Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) — Apparel Retail. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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URBNpeers & supply-chain relationships

URBN fair-value estimate

URBN earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 331.8K · 3-mo avg 1.16M

Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN)

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QTick signal
+8net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 2/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$75.46
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$85–86
center $85.43 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$8.05
10.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.63×
52-week range$59.54 – $85.43
Below high since 2015-34.4% · $115.70 high
Risk / reward1.51 : 1
Plan stop$69.94
Max pain$81.00 options cluster
RSI 1446.6 fires under 35 · fires near $68.71
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple11.1× fwd · 12.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past60th pctile · 13.3× median
Free cash flow yield4.8% · of market value

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
46.6
fires under 35 · fires near $68.71
vs 50-day
$75.97
at the line
Bollinger
$72.84
no lower pierce · fires near $72.03
VWAP 20
$78.38
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$75.46
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$75.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-14
MACD
Context
-0.46
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.63×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
11.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.76
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-25
in 49 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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