UBS Group AG (UBS) — Diversified Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 2.61M · 3-mo avg 1.73M

UBS Group AG (UBS)

UBSUBS Group AGloading…
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QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~5% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 62/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$49.42
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$52–53
center $52.70 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.12× the norm · 62% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.17×
52-week range$36.30 – $55.99
Below high since 2015-11.3% · $55.99 high
Risk / reward0.79 : 1
Plan stop$45.84
Max pain—
RSI 1438.8 fires under 35 · fires near $49.02
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple12.5× fwd · 17.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past100th pctile · 8.8× median
Price / book1.84×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 45% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
38.8
fires under 35 · fires near $49.02
vs 50-day
✓
$52.89
below the line
Bollinger
●
$47.40
no lower pierce · fires near $46.80
VWAP 20
✓
$51.82
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$49.42
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.55
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.17×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.21
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
2.21% yld
no ex-date on file