TICK
QT
/ JPM
JPMNYSENeutralBANKjudged on funding, not earnings
JPMorgan Chase & Co. · Financials
After hours
$267.40
-0.90 (-0.34%)
At close
$268.30
-1.00%
Jun 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET · At close · 6:38 PM ET 15-min delayed
Mkt cap$748.00B
P/E · fwd14.2 · 12.6
Div yield1.92%
Beta 1y1.01
Volume9.82M1.14× avg
52-wk range -6.7%191288
Caution readCautious
What we found on JPM
Free 14 days, then $20/mo · cancel anytime
!CPI print pre-opendealers are short gamma, so expect amplified moves.
At a glance the decision-relevant reads, first
GLOBAL TAPE
Overseas lean-0.43%
FrankfurtCMC-0.41%
London (OTC)0HSL-0.35%
MéxicoJPM.MX-0.52%
Track record · free & ungated
We grade our price-band calls in public

Each forward 80% price band is logged the day it's set and scored when it resolves — misses included. None are due yet, so there's no hit-rate to show: this builds in the open, not behind the paywall.

480
bands logged
0
resolved so far
Jul 5
first results
The calibration ledger stays free, always — a track record can't sit behind a paywall.

Price action

Price & quote

Live quote refreshed every 15 minutes against the full daily snapshot.

The readUnder pressurefact

Where the price sits inside today's range and its 52-week range, plus how it's performed over time. This is the raw quote — the same number everywhere, just faster.

Death cross formingAscending channel50- and 200-day averages are converging — watch for a regime flip.
204.5224.8245.1265.3285.6Ascending channelS · 265S · 260R · 275R · 280max pain 270
Tap & drag the chart for daily OHLCV · 126 sessions · prev close $271.02 (dashed)
Open
$270.50
Prev close
$271.02
Volume
9.82M
avg 8.61M
Rel. volume
1.14×
above normal
Market cap
$748.00B
Shares out
2.79B
float 2.77B
Day range
$266.80$271.40
52-week range
$190.90$287.50
-6.7% from high+40.6% above low
How it's performed price then → now, $268.30
3 months ago
$259.48
+3.4%
6 months ago
$248.20
+8.1%
1 year ago
$214.98
+24.8%
3 years ago
$136.89
+96.0%

QTick signal

Our net read
Data not available.

Red-Flag X-Ray

Accounting quality · red-flag scan

One integrity score (0–100) from a set of accounting checks that look for red flags. Higher is safer — and we show the checks it passed, not just the ones it failed.

33
/ 100
Integrity score
F
1 critical · 2 watch · 0 clear of 3 scored tests
0 clear2 watch1 critical2 n/a
Test battery
!!
5 forensic tests · 0 passed clean · 2 flagged for watch
n/a
Bankruptcy distressn/a
Altman-Z not available
n/a
Earnings manipulationn/a
Beneish-M not available
!Watch
LeverageD/E 1.20
debt-to-equity 1.20×
Critical
Profitability qualityF 3/9
Piotroski F-score 3 of 9
!Watch
Filing forensics1 flag(s)
1 filing red flag(s) on the latest 10-K
How we test · 7 forensic testsA clear result ships as openly as a flag — and the tests that don't fire are published in full. No survivorship bias.
Share dilution / SBC creepFires when shares outstanding rise materially or stock-based comp outpaces buybacks.
Distress (Altman-Z, negative equity)Fires on balance-sheet fragility. For banks we substitute regulatory capital (CET1).
Margin trajectoryFires on multi-quarter gross / operating margin erosion.
Going-concern languageNLP scan of filings for material-doubt or going-concern wording.
Filing timelinessFires on late / NT (non-timely) filings and restatements.
Insider selling into strengthFires on discretionary insider sells during price strength; 10b5-1 plans down-weighted.
Analyst-downgrade momentumFires on clusters of net downgrades and target cuts.
Section readRed-Flag X-Ray
F
integrity 0–100 · 7-test battery
One integrity score (0–100) from a set of accounting checks. 80+ is clean; a 'watch' item is minor; a 'critical' flag is serious.

Odds & pullback risk

Setup & odds

Which way the next move is more likely to go — and how overstretched the price looks right now.

The readSkews upsidewhere it sitsuncalibrated prior · not a forecast

How the likely upside compares with the downside, and how stretched the price is — odds, not timing.

Upside vs downside · 30d
Upside 54.4%45.5% Downside
Skew favours upside · base rate 50/50
Expected move · 1wk±0.1% ≈ $0.27
Upside target$316.40 +17.9% · level, not a call
Invalidation / stop$309.01 +15.2% · level, not a call
Reward : risk-1.2 : 1
BullClose above $316 opens continuation.
BaseChop between stop and target into the next catalyst.
BearA break of $309 invalidates the setup.
Pullback risk
LowElevatedHigh
Tape is 1.9σ stretched — pullback risk elevated.
  • price 1.9σ from its 20-day mean
In detail
How to read the odds
These are model probabilitiesfrom price action, options-implied skew and factor stretch — a read on the balance of risk, not a guarantee. A high pullback score means the tape is extended and prone to mean-revert; it doesn't predict timing. Research, never advice.

Trend & technical structure

Trend & technicals

The price chart's vital signs, in plain English. Expand any row for what it actually means for you.

The readUptrend intactwhere it sitsmoving-average posture · fact

Moving averages set the direction; RSI and the bands tell you whether the move has gone too far.

Average prices (the trend)
Price vs 200-day-11.8%
Momentum, bands & levels
In detail
The simple version
When price sits aboveits averages with momentum rising, the trend is healthy. When RSI is near the extremes or the price looks "stretched," the move is overdone and often takes a breather. Think of these as a weather report — conditions, not instructions. Research, never advice.

Pattern outcomes

QTick
Data not available.

Momentum & performance

Momentum / performance

Trailing returns and relative strength versus the benchmark.

The readIn linewhere it sitsRS percentile vs market

How the stock has returned, and whether it's beating the market. Strong, rising momentum tends to persist.

Trailing returns
1-month-5.4%
3-month-1.5%
6-month-5.6%
Year-to-date-9.2%
1-year+12.0%
12-1 momentum+15.9%
Relative strength vs S&P 500
68.2
RS-rank
percentile vs market
laggingleading
Relative strength line (β-adj)-1.24
In detail
What relative strength tells you
RS-rank 68.2 means JPM has outpaced 68.2% of the market over the trailing year. High and rising RS is the single most persistent momentum factor — leaders tend to keep leading until they don't.

Risk profile

Risk

Volatility and sensitivity, regressed against SPY from adjusted bars.

The readModeratewhere it sitspercentile vs S&P universe

Beta is how much it moves with the market; volatility and the worst drop show how rough the ride has been. Size positions to these.

Beta · 1-year
1.01
more sensitive than market
Beta · 3-year
0.90
Realized vol · 30d
21.1%
annualized
Max drawdown · 1y
-15.5%
In detail
Reading risk
A beta of 1.01 means that, historically, a 1% move in the S&P has come with a ~1.01% move here. Realized vol of 21% and a 15% worst-case 1-year drawdown frame how much patience a position needs.
ProFailure modes · derived analysis

How this kind of company fails

Failure modes · Bank

Different businesses break in different ways. This section reshapes by company type — these are the specific failure modes for a name like this one.

The readBankwhere it sitsrouted by company type

Different company types fail in different ways — a bank runs on deposits, a hyper-growth name on its valuation. These are the specific ways a stock like this tends to break.

Securities loss vs equity5.7%
Unrealized losses on held-to-maturity bonds, measured against tangible common equity. If a deposit run forces those bonds to be sold, the loss is realized — the higher this is, the thinner the cushion.
Deposit flight4.5%
Quarter-over-quarter change in deposits. A bank fails on the liability side — outflows force fire-sales of assets, so a shrinking deposit base is the leading run signal.
Market-implied default risk0.0%
A 1-year default probability backed out of the equity market (bank-tuned Merton, with deposits + debt as the liability face). The market's own read on solvency stress.
↳ Failure modes are routed by company type (bank · growth · etc.), not a one-size scorecard. Observational — research, never advice.
See the specific ways a company like this actually breaks — routed by company type, not generic risk boilerplate.
The verdict and plain read above stay free, forever — and Pro is free to try, so this costs nothing to open.
Free 14 days, then $20/mo · cancel anytime

Macro sensitivity

QTick
Data not available.

Valuation

Valuation

Is the stock cheap or expensive? Each multiple is graded and explained in plain English.

The readCheapwhere it sitsmultiple percentile vs S&P

Price against earnings, sales, book value and cash flow. We mark the measures that don't apply rather than fake them.

Reasonably valuedTrades at undemanding multiples relative to its earnings and book value — undemanding on valuation alone. Cheap ≠ a buy.
What you pay for earnings
P/E (trailing)Price ÷ last 12 months of profit14.2×Cheap
Forward P/EPrice ÷ next year's expected profit12.6×Cheap
PEG ratioP/E adjusted for growth — under 1 is cheap12.58Rich
Earnings yieldProfit as a % of price, like a bond yield7.04%Cheap
Dividend yieldAnnual cash paid to holders, % of price1.92%Income
What you pay for the business
Price / SalesPrice ÷ annual revenue4.4×Fair
Price / BookPrice ÷ net assets on the books2.19×Fair
EV / EBITDAWhole-company value ÷ operating cash earningsn/an/a
Price / FCFPrice ÷ free cash flow generated-5.4×Cheap
EV/EBITDA and P/FCF aren't meaningful for a bank — leverage is the product, not a distortion — so we mark them n/a rather than print a misleading number.
Peers today territory performance, for valuation context
BACCompetitor+1.5%
HSBCPeer-2.4%
HBCYFPeer-0.5%
RYPeer+1.3%
WFCCompetitor+1.3%
Section readValuation
Cheap
multiple percentile vs S&P
Price against earnings, sales, book value and cash flow. We mark the measures that don't apply rather than fake them.

Fundamentals & quality

Fundamentals / quality

How good is the underlying business? Scale, profitability and balance-sheet strength, graded.

The readSolidwhere it sitspercentile vs sector

Scale, profitability and balance sheet. Growing revenue, widening margins and clean returns mean a durable business.

Quality compounderA profitable, well-capitalised franchise growing steadily — bank metrics differ from industrials, so balance-sheet ratios show n/a where they don't apply.
Scale & growth
Revenue · TTMTotal sales over the last 12 months$181.85BScale
EPS · TTMProfit earned per share$20.02Profit
Net marginCents of profit kept per $1 of sales31.4%Strong
Revenue growthSales vs a year ago+7.3%OK
EPS growthProfit-per-share vs a year ago+1.4%Weak
Margin trajectoryAre profit margins widening or shrinking?stableOK
Returns & balance sheet
ROEProfit generated on shareholders' equity15.7%Strong
ROICReturn on all invested capitaln/an/a
Gross / Op marginProfitability before & after operating costsn/an/a
Free cash flowCash left after running & investing$-147.78BWeak
Debt / EquityBorrowings vs equity — lower is safer1.38OK
Current ratioCan it cover near-term bills? Over 1.5 is healthyn/an/a
Section readQuality
Solid
percentile vs sector
Scale, profitability and balance sheet. Growing revenue, widening margins and clean returns mean a durable business.

Credit & safety

QTick
Data not available.
ProDilution radar · derived analysis

Are your shares being diluted?

Derived · ownership erosion

Raw share count is everywhere. The consequence — how fast the count is growing and where that ranks against peers — is the read that matters.

The readFlat countwhere it sitsdilution percentile vs peers

How fast the share count is growing versus peers. Buybacks help you; heavy stock-based pay dilutes you.

5-year share-count CAGR
Buyback — count shrinking0.0%/yr
100+10
Most-dilutive percentile vs peers
LeastMedianMost
0percentile100
Peer percentile18th below median
Stock-comp % of revenuen/a not covered
Stock-comp % of revenue isn't yet covered for this name.
Shares outstanding · indexed 5y
5y ago = 100100.0
In detail
What the radar is saying
The count is shrinking 0.0%a year via buybacks — accretive: each share you hold becomes a slightly bigger slice. It's among the least dilutive (18th percentile) of its peers. Research, never advice.
See whether your stake is quietly being diluted — 5-year share-count trend, stock-comp load, and rank vs peers.
The verdict and plain read above stay free, forever — and Pro is free to try, so this costs nothing to open.
Free 14 days, then $20/mo · cancel anytime

Analyst & estimates

Analyst & estimates

Consensus, price targets, forward estimates and the bank's history of beating them.

The readStreet neutralwhere it sitswhere Wall Street sits · not QTick

Targets matter less than which way estimates are heading and how often the company beats them.

Consensus rating
Buy
53 analysts · score 2.1/5
Rating breakdown not available
12-month price target
low $240.00now $268.30high $330.00
Mean target$295.00 (+10.0%)
Forward estimates & revisions
Forward EPS consensus
Revision breadth · 30d
Revision momentum
Beat-rate · 8q
EPS surprise history
EPS surprise history not available
Recent rating changes
Target trimCapital Edge$305 → $295May '26
UpgradeMeridianHold → OverweightMar '26

Smart money & positioning

Smart money

Who holds it, how options lean, and the most recent insider, congressional and 13F transactions.

The readwhere it sitspositioning band · not a vote

Who owns it and what insiders and big funds are doing. Steady buying reads positive; heavy selling reads cautious.

Holders
Institutional
Insider0.0%
Institutional flow
Fund concentration
Activist stakeNone on file
Insider & short
Insider 90d net
10b5-1 vs discretionaryscheduledMostly programmatic
Short interest · %float0.0%
Short interest · 30d Δ
Options positioning
Put/call · OI0.94
Put/call · volume0.42
Implied movenext exp.±2.3%
IV skew (25Δ)+6.3% put-skewed
In detail
What positioning is whispering
Institutional flow data unavailable. A put/call of 0.94 and put-skewed IV say the options market is leaning defensive.
Recent transactions Form 4 + congressional
FilerSourceActionValueDate
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO10% ownerInsiderSell005 Jun
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO10% ownerInsiderBuy005 Jun
Friedman StaceyGeneral CounselInsiderSell160000020 May
Petno Douglas BCo-CEO CIBInsiderSell015 May
Petno Douglas BCo-CEO CIBInsiderSell170000015 May
13F gurus · last quarter
Renaissance TechnologiesAdded+0.7M sh · $202M
ProSmart-money flow · derived analysis

Conviction, not just transactions

Derived · who's actually buying

Anyone can list the filings. We weight insider buys by cluster and seniority into a conviction intensity, and read institutional footprint as a velocity.

The readFunds trimmingwhere it sitsintensity, not a probability

Insider buys, weighted by how senior the buyer is and whether several buy at once — plus how fast big funds are moving in or out.

Insider conviction intensity
Clustered exec buys · 90d0.0 / 18.44
018.44
Intensity index — explicitly not a probability
Distinct exec buyers
0/3
Buy clusters · last 90d
90d agotoday
Institutional footprint · QoQ
+54new fundsexited96
Net registered funds -88 this quarter
Institutional velocityTrimming
In detail
What the flow is saying
No clustered exec buying this window — conviction reads low. Funds are trimming: a net -88 registered holders quarter-over-quarter. Conviction is intensity, not a forecast.
See which insiders are actually buying — weighted by seniority — and how fast the big funds are moving in or out.
The verdict and plain read above stay free, forever — and Pro is free to try, so this costs nothing to open.
Free 14 days, then $20/mo · cancel anytime

Options microstructure

Options microstructure

Computed over the stored full chain — where dealer hedging concentrates.

The readPinned to a levelwhere it sitsmarket-structure band

The busiest option strikes can pull the price toward them or speed moves up. They act as support and resistance.

Open-interest by strike · gamma walls
Puts OI (k)Calls OI (k)
0
315
0
0
312.5
0
0
310
0
0
307.5
0
0
305
0
0
302.5
0
0
300
0
0
297.5
0
0
295
0
0
292.5
0
0
290
0
0
287.5
0
0
285
0
0
282.5
0
0
280
0
WALL0
277.5
0WALL
spot $296.58 max pain $165 (-44.4%)
Dealer regime & expected move
Gamma exposure (GEX)
Positive
flat
Max pain$165.00 (-44.4%)
Put/call · OI0.94
Call wall$277.50 resistance
Put wall$277.50 support
Expected move · session±0.0%
Expected move · week±0.1%
Break-proneBalanced bookLong gamma
In detail
What the options are saying
Calls and puts are roughly balanced (P/C 0.94) — no strong directional tilt in the chain. Dealers are long gamma, so they lean against moves: that pins price toward the $165 max-pain magnet — currently 44.4% below spot — into Friday's expiry. Expect chop, not breakouts, unless $277.5 gives way. The chain is pricing about ±0.05516040102528118% (≈ $0.16) over the coming week.
ProGamma map · derived analysis

Where dealers pin the tape

Derived · dealer hedging · marquee

Open interest is free everywhere. What it does — whether dealer hedging dampens or amplifies a 1% move, and the walls price gets magnetized to — is the derived read.

The readHedging calms moveswhere it sitsdealer-positioning band

Whether options dealers' hedging is calming the price or likely to amplify the next move, and the levels it's drawn to.

Support / resistance rails
call wall · resistance$272.5
spot$296.58
put wall · support$272.5
Dealer regime
Long gamma — dealers dampen moves
Net dealer gamma+$0 per 1% move
ATM implied vol21.5%
Expected move · 1d±0.0%
Expected move · 1w±0.1%
OTM IV skew (25Δ)-0.3% call-skewed
In detail
What the gamma map is saying
Dealers are long gamma, so they lean against moves — price gets pinned between support at $272.5 and resistance at $272.5 into expiry. Net gamma of +$0 is the dollar hedging effect per 1% move — the consequence a raw chain never tells you. Research, never advice.
See exactly where dealer hedging pins the price or lets it break — the call wall, put wall, and net hedging pressure.
The verdict and plain read above stay free, forever — and Pro is free to try, so this costs nothing to open.
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Peers & supply chain

Territory · peers & supply chain

The names in this stock's orbit — how each is trading today, and how they wire together as suppliers, customers and competitors.

The readLagging groupfact

How nearby companies are trading. Moving with them is a sector story; breaking away is specific to this stock.

TickerRelationshipTodayRelative move
JPMThis stock-1.00%
BACCompetitor+1.47%
HSBCPeer-2.39%
HBCYFPeer-0.45%
RYPeer+1.32%
WFCCompetitor+1.28%
In detail
Lagging its peers
JPM is -1.2% behind the peer average (+0.25%). Divergence from the group is where the stock-specific signal lives.
Supply map how the territory wires together
MSFT-2.0%V+1.7%V+1.7%VCEL+3.5%MAR+0.6%UAL+4.1%MA+2.0%GPGI-1.8%MA+2.0%WFC+1.3%GS-1.2%BAC+1.5%GS-1.2%MS-0.9%AXP+2.0%C+1.1%DB+1.8%COF+1.6%JPM-1.00%the stock
competitorpartnercustomersupplier

What's moving the stock

The Story · news & social

The headlines actually moving the stock, with the crowd's mood shown next to each.

The readCrowd mixedfactread as contrarian context

What moved the stock, plus how bullish the crowd is — which tends to be loudest right at the turning points.

Latest headlines 00▼ of 5
Neutral
JPMorgan Turns More Constructive on Travelers Companies (TRV), Citing Lower Reserve Risk
MIDInsider Monkey·6h ago
Neutral
Market Chatter: JPMorgan-Led Banks Plan to Offload $5.3B in Qualtrics Hung Debt Later This Year
MIDMT Newswires·14h ago
Neutral
Sector Update: Financial Stocks Advance Late Afternoon
MIDMT Newswires·14h ago
Neutral
Oil Pares Losses After Trump Says US ‘Must Respond’ to Attack
MIDBloomberg·16h ago
Social sentiment
Per-platform sentiment data not available

Calibration scorecard

Auditable track record

Every rating we publish is fingerprinted, tracked, and resolved in public. Here's how we've actually done.

1
calls logged
track record builds as calls resolve (0/8)
Resolved
0
awaiting first results
Open calls
1
tracked, unresolved
JPM track record
building
published once resolved
Section readTrack record
Building
Our public hit-rate, misses included — a track record only means something if it can't be cherry-picked.