TWFG, Inc. (TWFG) — Insurance Brokers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 87.7K · 3-mo avg 158.5K

TWFG, Inc. (TWFG)

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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 35/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
—
model abstained · segment micro
Target exit
—
model abstained · segment micro
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.47×
52-week range$16.56 – $31.30
Below high since 2024-34.5% · $36.85 high
Risk / reward—
Plan stop—
Max pain—
RSI 1435.1 fires under 35 · fires near $24.12
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple20.9× fwd · 40.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past57th pctile · 140.9× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 69% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 4 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
35.1
fires under 35 · fires near $24.12
vs 50-day
✓
$27.48
below the line
Bollinger
●
$23.53
no lower pierce · fires near $23.33
VWAP 20
✓
$26.90
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
—
not on file
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.49
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.47×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
6.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.24
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 4 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-11
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file