Everything behind the call on Thomson Reuters Corporation. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Global tape
No overseas listings — TRI trades on its home exchange only.
The bottom linestart hereAs of 2026-09-25
Chart pattern
Between the averages
The 50-day sits above the 200-day
50-day $100.58 · -1.6% 200-day $97.40 · +1.6%
Earnings
In 37 days
3 Nov 2026
beat 7–8 of the last 8 cohort P(beat) 79% · n=35,343
Valuation
19.4× forward
17th of its own five-year range
5yr median 32× FCF yield 4.19%
Dividend
2.65%
Forward annual yield at today's price
Risk flags
None flagged
5 checks run, 5 clear
beta 0.22 · vol 55% ann. worst drawdown -52%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
In one paragraphwhat the company actually does144 chars
Thomson Reuters Corporation operates as a content and technology company in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
Altman-Z of 4.9 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 5 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
4.86SAFE ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetJun 22, 2026
Distance to default (Merton)COMFORTABLE
5.9σ
How many standard deviations of asset value sit between the company and its debt. Above 4σ is comfortable.
Structural snapshot · Sep 27, 2026
1-year default probabilityEDF-CALIBRATED
0.18%
Calibrated against how often companies at this distance actually defaulted, rather than assuming a normal distribution.
Profitability qualityCLEARF 7/9Piotroski F-score 7 of 9 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsCLEAR0 flagsno filing red flags on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 5 clear. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Sep 27, 2026FAIR · 56/100
Business quality
20% net margin, 13% return on equity, +3% revenue growth, and capital earning 11% against a 7% cost.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
56 / 100FAIR
Profitability · net margin 20%
Growth · revenue +3% YoY
Balance strength · debt/equity 0.20
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Sep 27, 2026
Net marginOF EVERY SALES DOLLAR
20.1%
The share of revenue that survives every cost and becomes profit.
Gross marginPRICING POWER
75.8%
What is left of a sales dollar before overhead — the clearest read on pricing power.
Operating marginAFTER RUNNING COSTS
26.6%
What survives the cost of running the whole business.
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
12.6%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
ROIC − WACC spreadCREATES VALUE
4.4pp
Earns 11% on invested capital that costs about 7%. A positive spread means every retained dollar compounds rather than leaks.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month
-5.5%
3 months
+19.8%
6 months
+10.7%
Year to date
-21.7%
1 year
-37.3%
Revenue growth (YoY)GROWING
+3.0%
Revenue against the same period a year ago.
EPS growth (YoY)IN LINE
-31.9%
Earnings per share against a year ago. Running ahead of revenue means margins are widening.
12-1 momentumEX LAST MONTH
-32.3%
Return over the last year excluding the most recent month — the standard momentum factor, which drops the short-term reversal.
Relative-strength rankTOP 15%
85 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
cohort n=35,343 · this name's own n=8 · since 2000
Beat rate · this nameBEAT 7–8 OF THE LAST 8
8 of 8
Its own record against consensus. 8 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
n=8 measured prints
Typical earnings moveData unavailableRealized move magnitudes are not published for this name yet — needs ≥8 measured prints · 1 on file.
Reaction: beat vs missData unavailableThe beat-versus-miss reaction gap is not computed for this name — undetermined — needs ≥12 measured beats.
Consensus bias1.30× COHORT
Persistent
consensus runs low for this name — it routinely clears the bar
As of · Aug 5, 2026
Next reportIN 37 DAYS
3 Nov 2026
Reports bmo · consensus EPS $0.91 · revenue 1.9 B
Dividends & income
Dividend yieldforward annual
2.65%
The cash return the payment alone provides at today's price.
Cash coveragefree cash flow
1-2x
Whether the payment is funded out of the cash the business generates.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
head above two ≈-equal shoulders — bearish reversal
Double bottom · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%0.0%1,247,184
21d50%0.0%586,365
63d51%+0.3%185,394
two troughs ≈ equal — reversal if neckline breaks
0317TH OF ITS 5-YEAR RANGE
Price & timing
Price $98.99, 19.4× forward earnings, RSI 48.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Trend
Mixed1 OF 3 AVERAGES
50-day $100.58 · 200-day $97.40. Price above both is the structural definition of an uptrend.
The setup right now
Price · 504 sessions2024-09-23 → 2026-09-25
price50-day200-day
How to read this
Down 1.33% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
Market cap$48.12B
Day range$98.11 – $100.48
Above 52-week low+30%
Realized volatility55% ann.
Worst drawdown-51.5%
Momentum (RSI-14)COOL
48
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
Typical day (ATR-14)±3.8%
$3.78
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDBELOW SIGNAL
-0.41
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position38% OF RANGE
Mid band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE BELOW
$101.10
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitBROKEN
$101.42
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
3 Nov 2026 · in 37 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number. Date as the vendor last stated it on 7 Aug; companies confirm about three weeks ahead, so it can still move.
2026-09-29 · in 2 daysJob Openings (JOLTS)A scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.33× segment rate · n=6,737
Historically, large names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 88% of cases (n=6,737).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
-0.5σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$96 – $983 supports
Where prior demand appeared: Pivot low at $98.15, S1 at $97.91, Sma 200 at $97.40.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
40 / 100Neutral
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Signal
The odds lean, the stretch qualifies it.
Not enough fundamental coverage to score this name's red-flag cohort — no 12-month odds shown.
Valuation
Earnings yield vs cashBELOW CASH
-1.35pp
Cash pays more than the earnings yield today, so what you are buying is future growth rather than a current return.
Net cash per shareNET DEBT
$-4.57
Cash less every borrowing, per share. It is the part of the price that is not a claim on future profits.
Multiples
Forward P/Eearnings expected over the next 12 months19.4×5yr median 32×
Trailing P/Eearnings already reported26.1×17th of its 5yr range
PEG ratioP/E divided by growth; near 1 reads fair for the growth3.25
Price / salesprice against revenue, before any of it becomes profit6.4×5yr median 9.0×
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets4.0×
EV / EBITDAthe multiple an acquirer would pay16.5×
EV / free cash flowenterprise value against the cash the business throws off24.9×
FCF yieldfree cash flow per dollar of market value4.19%
6 of the 8 priced multiples above sit in the richer half of its band. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timingSep 25, 2026
Entryzone of pivot low + S1 + sma 200
$98.50In zone
Where the composer's entry sits, on its own stated basis.
TargetDaily pivot + round + sma 50 + vwap 50
$100.41$99–$101
A zone, not a price. It is where the composer expects supply, not a forecast.
Stop2× ATR below entry
$90.93risk $7.57/sh
The level that says the setup is wrong, on the basis named beside it.
Risk / rewardtarget vs stop
0.25:1flagged low
Less reward than risk at these levels. The composer publishes it rather than hiding it, because a sub-1 ratio is the argument against the trade.
Measure from a price$
To the 50-day
+1.6%
short-term trend line · $100.58
To the 200-day
-1.6%
primary trend line · $97.40
To the composer's target
+1.4%
Daily pivot + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · set Sep 25, 2026 · $100.41
To the composer's stop
-8.1%
2× ATR below entry · set Sep 25, 2026 · $90.93
To the 52-week high
+66.0%
highest print of the past year · $164.30
To the 52-week low
-22.9%
lowest print of the past year · $76.28
A typical day (ATR)
$95.21 – $102.77
±$3.78 average true range
Type any price to re-measure every distance from it. Each row is a level this page already states somewhere else, so nothing here is a new number — and none of it is a recommendation to trade at that price.
Signal
Less reward than risk at this level.
Entry $98.50 · stop $90.93 · target $100.41, a 0.25:1 ratio. The composer flagged: fair-value reference, low reward to risk.
Gamma map
Data unavailableThis name has no listed options chain, so there is no dealer gamma to map. Regime, flip level, walls and the implied move all need a chain to exist.
Options tape
Data unavailableNo options chain is connected for this ticker. Max pain, the put/call ratio, the implied move and the open-interest ladder all need the chain feed.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL +5
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 28%.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
+5LEANING · 30d
Earnings +3
Quality / value +2
2 bull / 0 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
+3
latest EPS beat by 3%
Quality / valueTTM · CONTEXT
+2
strong Piotroski F-score (7/9)
Signal
2 bull / 0 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to +5 over 30d, a leaning reading. 2 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street
Data unavailableNo sell-side firm publishes research on this name. There is no consensus rating, no price target and no estimate revisions to weigh — for a company this size that is the norm rather than a gap in our data.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipRETAIL-HEAVY
28.4%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
70.7%
The share held by the people running the company.
Free float26% OF SHARES
127.51M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)91st PCTILE
$191.28M/day
At this depth, position size is not a constraint for a retail account.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
Funds entering / exitingNET 0
+0 / −0
Institutions opening a first position against those closing out entirely, at the latest filings.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayNONE
-1.33%
TRI fell −1.33% since the last close — no identified catalyst in our coverage.
Matched · Sep 25, 2026
CongressSTOCK Act · 30–45d lag
Signal
Evenly split.
1 of 2 disclosures are buys and 1 is a sale. Lawmakers disclose on a 30–45 day legal lag, so this describes what was done weeks ago, not what is being done now.
Disclosed lawmaker trades, with their legal reporting lag.
0511 graded callsHIGH VOLATILITY
Risk & track record
Beta 0.22, 55% annual volatility, a -52% worst drawdown, and 3 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
A very bad day (EVT)
−13.1%1-IN-200 DAY
Fitted to the tail of the return distribution rather than assuming a bell curve. Size the position so a day like this is survivable.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beyond the tail (ES)1-IN-1,000 DAY
−29.9%
The average loss on a 1-in-1,000 day or worse — deeper in the tail than the 1-in-200 figure above and further than the measured history reaches, so it reads as the scale of a crash, not a forecast of one.
Tail understatementHEAVY TAIL
1.6×
A normal-curve estimate understates this name's worst days by about 1.6×, so volatility alone is the wrong risk measure for it.
Max drawdownIT CAN HALVE
-51.5%
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
Beta (vs the market)LOW FIT
0.22
The market explains about 0.3% of its daily moves, so this beta says little about how it tracks the index — most of its movement is its own.
3-year beta 0.44
Annualized volatilityELEVATED
55%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Neutral
Selling pressure29
Buying pressure0
Overheat0
State: neutral — No dominant short-horizon pressure in the tape.
0-100 · high = active · lit = the engine's own phase, cohort-banded
What votes against
Data unavailableNo factor in the model currently votes against this name. That is a statement about the model's inputs today, not a claim that nothing could go wrong.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as growth, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Suggested position capmax defensible size
2.4%tail cap binds
max defensible size 2.4% - tail binds
Avoid score6-month distress
13.9%1.5× its cohort · most-traded mega-caps
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this most-traded mega-caps segment: 9.3%. This name reads 1.5× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
MedPosition size, not conviction, is the binding constrainthalf-Kelly 22.5% · tail cap 2.4% · category cap 90.1%. The tail cap binds, so 2.4% is the number (n=21,870). We show which one binds rather than the friendliest.Sizing
MedLottery-ticket behaviourIts best 21-day return sits at 8.7% against a 7.8% cohort 90th-percentile threshold — above the line where forward returns have historically turned negative.Behaviour
LowPost-earnings driftDrift odds at full strength (+2.24% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).Timing
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
3 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 3 clear. The binding constraint is position size — the tail cap is the one that binds. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You can't sit through -52%
That is this name's deepest measured fall, on 55% annualized volatility. A drawdown of that size is normal here, not exceptional.
You'd be buying into earnings
A report lands in 37 days.
You'd size it like a core holding
The binding cap is 2.4% of a portfolio. Above that the tail stops being survivable.
Our track record11 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
23 logged
23 calls logged on this name, 11 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
11 resolved · 12 open
Calls on TRITHIS NAME
23
This name's own call count. Too few have resolved to publish a rate over them, so none is shown rather than a rate over 11.
0610-K disclosed linksSPECIALTY BUSINESS SERVICES
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 1 connection.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
-1.9% per +1ppSECTOR
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (tailwind) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
CTASPeer$199.91+1.13%
RELXPeer$33.52+0.03%
RLXXFCompetitor$33.30-0.15%
6072.TPeer$1,077.00-0.28%
6083.TPeer$1,668.00-0.60%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.
Historical retrospective. Context, not a forecast.
Macro driversRolling window
Inflation (CPI) reactionn=39
1.55×
On these days it moves about 1.6× the market, regardless of company news.
Measured over 39 events
Jobs report reactionn=40
1.09×
On these days it moves about 1.1× the market, regardless of company news.
Measured over 40 events
Fed decision (FOMC) reactionn=39
1.01×
On these days it moves about 1.0× the market, regardless of company news.
Measured over 39 events
Inflation (PCE) reactionn=39
1.09×
On these days it moves about 1.1× the market, regardless of company news.
Measured over 39 events
Next macro catalystIN 2 DAYS
Job Openings (JOLTS)
2026-09-29. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockSep 25, 2026
Industrial productionUsually helps when factory output comes in stronger than expected
Industrial companies sell into exactly this activity.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later -0.1% · Two weeks later +0.4% · Rose on 19 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Industrial production reports since Jun 15, 2023, TRI moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 0.4% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Industrial companies sell into exactly this activity.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.5% · A week later -0.1% · Two weeks later -1.9% · Rose on 8 of 13 report days
Across the last 13 GDP (advance estimate) reports since Jul 28, 2023, TRI moved +0.5% on average on the day and was 1.9% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Rising layoffs signal factories and builders are slowing.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.1% · A week later 0.0% · Two weeks later -0.2% · Rose on 94 of 170 report days
Across the last 170 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, TRI moved +0.1% on average on the day and was 0.2% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Factories pay more for materials before they can raise their own prices, and higher rates slow orders.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.1% · A week later -0.1% · Two weeks later -0.6% · Rose on 22 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Jun 28, 2023, TRI moved +0.1% on average on the day and was 0.6% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
FOMC decisionUsually hurts when the Fed sounds more hawkish than expected
Costlier financing slows factory and equipment orders.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.1% · A week later -1.2% · Two weeks later -0.7% · Rose on 14 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 FOMC decision reports since Jul 1, 2023, TRI moved +0.1% on average on the day and was 0.7% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
Housing startsUsually helps when more homes are started than expected
Building products and equipment makers.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day -0.2% · A week later +0.6% · Two weeks later +1.0% · Rose on 21 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Housing starts reports since Jun 20, 2023, TRI moved -0.2% on average on the day and was 1.0% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Job openings (JOLTS) is due in 2 days.
Job openings (JOLTS)Usually helps when job openings come in higher than expected
Strong hiring means factories and builders are busy.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day -0.3% · A week later -0.8% · Two weeks later -1.4% · Rose on 20 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Job openings (JOLTS) reports since Jul 5, 2023, TRI moved -0.3% on average on the day and was 1.4% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
PCE inflation is due in 3 days.
PCE inflationUsually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Factories pay more for materials before they can raise their own prices, and higher rates slow orders.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.1% · A week later -0.1% · Two weeks later -0.6% · Rose on 22 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 PCE inflation reports since Jun 28, 2023, TRI moved +0.1% on average on the day and was 0.6% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.