The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) — Diversified Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 785.7K · 3-mo avg 1.83M

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

TDThe Toronto-Dominion Bankloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionInflation-report days · ~7% bigger swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$123.25
near a support level · Nov 10
$128–129
near the top of its usual range and the 52-week high · midpoint $128.79 · Nov 10
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
61% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume38% below normal0.62× its 20-day average
Past year's range$80.23 – $128.79lowest to highest price
From its peak3.8% belowpeak $128.79, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.95 to 1$0.95 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$118.68the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)53.0fires under 35 · fires near $113.69
Price vs. profit15.6× next year18.4× last 12 months

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
53.0
fires under 35 · fires near $113.69
vs 50-day
●
$120.74
above the line · fires near $121.85
Bollinger
●
$118.55
no lower pierce · fires near $117.53
VWAP 20
●
$123.41
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $123.40
Entry level
✓
$123.25
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.27
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.62×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$2.29
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-03
in 16 sessions
Next dividend
2.59% yld
no ex-date on file