The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) — Diversified Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:24 PM ETVol 1.01M · 3-mo avg 2.34M

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

TDThe Toronto-Dominion Bankloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~9% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 1/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$118.66
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24
Target exit zone
$120–121
center $120.46 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.12× the norm · 62% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.71×
52-week range$77.26 – $125.47
Below high since 2015-4.9% · $125.47 high
Risk / reward—
Plan stop$114.47
Max pain—
RSI 1445.4 fires under 35 · fires near $116.39
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple15.3× fwd · 18.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past79th pctile · 11.5× median
Price / book1.59×

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

At target — take profit
RSI 14
●
45.4
fires under 35 · fires near $116.39
vs 50-day
✓
$120.83
at the line
Bollinger
●
$118.40
no lower pierce · fires near $117.91
VWAP 20
✓
$120.72
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$118.66
level below · fires near $119.84
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.16
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.71×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$2.10
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-12-03
in 48 sessions
Next dividend
2.69% yld
no ex-date on file