Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) — Beverages - Brewers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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STZpeers & supply-chain relationships

STZ fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.61M · 3-mo avg 2.29M

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ)

STZConstellation Brands, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$141.26
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$164–166
near the 52-week high · midpoint $164.86 · Nov 6
±$8.84
±6.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume28% below normal0.72× its 20-day average
Past year's range$110.60 – $168.60lowest to highest price
From its peak48.4% belowpeak $274.87, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.26 to 1$2.26 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$131.86the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$128.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)64.7fires under 35 · fires near $110.61
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit11.7× next year12.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 3%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 28.9×
Cash it generates7.5%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
64.7
fires under 35 · fires near $110.61
vs 50-day
●
$125.28
above the line · fires near $126.19
Bollinger
●
$121.56
no lower pierce · fires near $119.00
VWAP 20
●
$133.98
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $133.98
Entry level
✓
$141.26
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.06
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.70
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-07
in 41 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
2.90% yld
no ex-date on file