Ambev S.A. (ABEV) — Beverages - Brewers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ABEV fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:08 PM ETVol 15.95M · 3-mo avg 28.11M

Ambev S.A. (ABEV)

ABEVAmbev S.A.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$2.97
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$3.44
center $3.44 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.40×
52-week range$2.10 – $3.45
Below high since 2015-60.3% · $7.51 high
Risk / reward3.43 : 1
Plan stop$2.83
Max pain
RSI 1450.8 fires under 35 · fires near $2.78
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple13.8× fwd · 14.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past61st pctile · 15.9× median
Free cash flow yield42.5% · of market value

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 48% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
50.8
fires under 35 · fires near $2.78
vs 50-day
$2.99
at the line
Bollinger
$2.82
no lower pierce · fires near $2.79
VWAP 20
$2.93
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $2.93
Entry level
$2.97
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
0.00
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.40×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.07
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
5.40% yld
no ex-date on file
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