Ambev S.A. (ABEV) — Beverages - Brewers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 20.50M · 3-mo avg 26.78M

Ambev S.A. (ABEV)

ABEVAmbev S.A.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionInflation-report days · ~5% bigger swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 40/100 · Nov 6
$2.78
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$3.00
near a round-number price, the 200-day average, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $3.00 · Nov 6
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume22% below normal0.78× its 20-day average
Past year's range$2.28 – $3.45lowest to highest price
From its peak62.8% belowpeak $7.51, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.83 to 1$0.83 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$2.54the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)40.6fires under 35 · fires near $2.65
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit13.5× next year14.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 31%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 15.8×
Cash it generates45.2%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 58% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
40.6
fires under 35 · fires near $2.65
vs 50-day
✓
$3.00
below the line
Bollinger
●
$2.47
no lower pierce · fires near $2.39
VWAP 20
✓
$2.97
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$2.78
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.03
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.78×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.12
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-11
in 65 sessions
Next dividend
5.02% yld
no ex-date on file