State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) — Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 35.24M · 3-mo avg 47.23M

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trustloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 4/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$767.49
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$776–779
center $777.44 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Unknown
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.84×
52-week range$629.28 – $779.37
Below high since 2023-1.0% · $779.37 high
Risk / reward0.32 : 1
Plan stop$752.49
Max pain$761.00 options cluster
RSI 1457.0 fires under 35 · fires near $737.52
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple24.7× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 63% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
57.0
fires under 35 · fires near $737.52
vs 50-day
●
$759.91
above the line · fires near $767.27
Bollinger
●
$752.27
no lower pierce · fires near $749.51
VWAP 20
●
$763.61
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $763.43
Entry level
✓
$767.49
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-1.34
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$6.81
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
—
not on file
Next dividend
0.73% yld
no ex-date on file
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Stock Price & Signals · QTick