Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG) — Diversified Banks. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.99M · 3-mo avg 1.54M

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG)

SMFGSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 6 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~33% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 1/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$26.48
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$27–28
center $27.59 · basis · bb upper + high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.42
5.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.31× the norm · 73% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.41×
52-week range$15.18 – $27.62
Below high since 2015-3.7% · $27.62 high
Risk / reward0.74 : 1
Plan stop$25.28
Max pain$25.00 options cluster
RSI 1453.5 fires under 35 · fires near $24.24
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple15.8× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past3rd pctile · 14.0× median
Price / book0.01×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 4.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
53.5
fires under 35 · fires near $24.24
vs 50-day
●
$25.92
above the line · fires near $26.17
Bollinger
●
$25.43
no lower pierce · fires near $25.23
VWAP 20
●
$26.56
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $26.56
Entry level
✓
$26.48
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$25.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.11
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.41×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-12
in 34 sessions
Next dividend
2.22% yld
no ex-date on file