Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) — Computer Hardware. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 37.00M · 3-mo avg 43.86M

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 84/100 · was 36 on Nov 3 · Nov 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$28.62
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$29–31
near a heavy call-option level, a resistance level, the options pressure point and a round-number price · midpoint $29.94 · Nov 6
±$3.61
±12.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 23% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 23% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume12% below normal0.88× its 20-day average
Past year's range$19.48 – $51.40lowest to highest price
From its peak76.6% belowpeak $122.90, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.24 to 1$0.24 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$23.82the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$30.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)36.3fires under 35 · fires near $28.29
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit4.3× next year6.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 0%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 20.0×
Cash it generates-40.3%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 6.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
36.3
fires under 35 · fires near $28.29
vs 50-day
✓
$37.44
below the line
Bollinger
●
$27.10
no lower pierce · fires near $26.60
VWAP 20
✓
$32.97
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$28.62
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$30.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-0.56
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
14.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.56
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 58 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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