Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) — Computer Hardware. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

STXpeers & supply-chain relationships

STX fair-value estimate

STX earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:30 PM ETVol 3.40M · 3-mo avg 4.77M

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX)

STXSeagate Technology Holdings plcloading…
loading…
QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionInflation-report days · ~43% bigger swingsRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 74/100 · was 89 on Nov 5 · Nov 100/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$503.61
near a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 3.8% below it
$1,133–1,153
near the 52-week high · midpoint $1,143.27 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 37% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 37% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume12% below normal0.88× its 20-day average
Past year's range$228.61 – $1,145.00lowest to highest price
From its peak55.8% belowpeak $1,145.00, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk7.90 to 1$7.90 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$422.63the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)32.0washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit25.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 68%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 20.5×

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 4.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
32.0
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$762.88
below the line
Bollinger
●
$476.36
no lower pierce · fires near $473.53
VWAP 20
✓
$625.17
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$503.61
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-13.17
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$55.37
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-26
in 51 sessions
Next dividend
0.63% yld
no ex-date on file