Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) — Footwear & Accessories. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SHOO fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 11:41 AM ETVol 671.9K · 3-mo avg 1.07M

Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO)

SHOOSteven Madden, Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 34/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$41.59
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$44–45
center $44.35 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.75
9.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.88×
52-week range$31.33 – $49.70
Below high since 2015-17.4% · $50.62 high
Risk / reward0.71 : 1
Plan stop$38.41
Max pain$40.00 options cluster
RSI 1443.0 fires under 35 · fires near $39.42
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple15.0× fwd · 20.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past80th pctile · 17.6× median
Free cash flow yield3.9% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
43.0
fires under 35 · fires near $39.42
vs 50-day
$44.33
below the line
Bollinger
$39.97
no lower pierce · fires near $39.47
VWAP 20
$42.95
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$41.59
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$35.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.13
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.59
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
2.01% yld
no ex-date on file