NIKE, Inc. (NKE) — Footwear & Accessories. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NKE fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 5.66M · 3-mo avg 26.50M

NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

NKENIKE, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-5net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 8 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionPCE inflation days · ~29% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 15/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$36.18
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$39.86
center $39.86 · basis · round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.61
4.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.59×
52-week range$35.73 – $76.97
Below high since 2015-79.4% · $176.33 high
Risk / reward1.98 : 1
Plan stop$34.44
Max pain$38.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.5 fires under 35 · fires near $36.08
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple15.9× fwd · 17.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past0th pctile · 29.7× median
Free cash flow yield4.1% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
36.5
fires under 35 · fires near $36.08
vs 50-day
$40.26
below the line
Bollinger
$35.49
no lower pierce · fires near $35.28
VWAP 20
$37.93
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$36.18
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$40.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.12
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.59×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
6.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.87
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-01
in 10 sessions
Next dividend
4.52% yld
no ex-date on file