NIKE, Inc. (NKE) — Footwear & Accessories. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

NKEpeers & supply-chain relationships

NKE fair-value estimate

NKE earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 20.44M · 3-mo avg 33.41M

NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

NKENIKE, Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
loading…
$38.40
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$40.10
near the top of its usual range, a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $40.10 · Nov 6
±$2.25
±5.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume17% below normal0.83× its 20-day average
Past year's range$31.97 – $69.14lowest to highest price
From its peak78.1% belowpeak $176.33, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.57 to 1$0.57 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$35.95the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$38.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)55.0fires under 35 · fires near $33.10
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit24.9× next year18.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 6%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 29.4×
Cash it generates3.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 45% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
55.0
fires under 35 · fires near $33.10
vs 50-day
●
$36.89
above the line · fires near $37.21
Bollinger
●
$35.08
no lower pierce · fires near $34.55
VWAP 20
●
$37.74
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $37.70
Entry level
✓
$38.40
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$38.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context✓
+0.20
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.83×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-17
in 28 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
4.25% yld
no ex-date on file