Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) — Gambling Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SGHC fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 3.23M · 3-mo avg 2.64M

Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC)

SGHCSuper Group (SGHC) Limitedloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 49/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$12.74
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$13.95
center $13.95 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.32×
52-week range$8.46 – $15.86
Below high since 2020-19.3% · $15.86 high
Risk / reward1.37 : 1
Plan stop$11.85
Max pain
RSI 1434.5 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple15.6× fwd · 19.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past53rd pctile · 24.4× median
Free cash flow yield3.8% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
34.5
washed out
vs 50-day
$13.87
below the line
Bollinger
$13.02
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$13.69
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$12.74
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
+0.03
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.32×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
11.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.44
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
1.58% yld
no ex-date on file