Deep dive · NYSE: SA
Seabridge Gold Inc. stock analysis
Everything behind the call on Seabridge Gold Inc. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Global tape
No overseas listings — SA trades on its home exchange only.
The bottom linestart hereAs of 2026-11-09
Chart pattern
Below both averages
The 50-day sits below the 200-day
50-day $28.18 · -0.9%
200-day $29.73 · -6.1%
200-day $29.73 · -6.1%
Earnings
In 3 days
12 Nov 2026
beat ≤2 of the last 8
cohort P(beat) 39% · n=21,200
cohort P(beat) 39% · n=21,200
Valuation
-94.1× forward
5th of its own five-year range
5yr median 225×
FCF yield -5.36%
FCF yield -5.36%
Dividend
0.00%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
1 critical
5 checks run, 2 clear
beta 2.40 · vol 55% ann.
worst drawdown -40%
worst drawdown -40%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
In one paragraphwhat the company actually does132 chars
Seabridge Gold Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and exploration of gold properties in North America.
NYSE · USDGold Mining
$27.93+1.56 · +5.92%RTH · vol 295.7K
52-week range↑ 29% off low · ↓ 30.3% off high
$21.67now $27.93$40.06
Quote Nov 9, 2026 · 2:32 PM ET
Tape 2026-11-06
Factors 2026-11-09
Tape 2026-11-06
Factors 2026-11-09
01Ratios · Jun 22, 2026SOLVENCY IN QUESTION
Survival & solvency
Altman-Z of 2.8 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 2 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
2.76GREY ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetJun 22, 2026
Piotroski F-scoreCRITICAL
F 3/8
Piotroski F-score 3 of 8. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Solvency and liquidity ratios
Current ratioshort-term assets against short-term bills5.24×healthy >2
Debt / equityborrowings against shareholder capital0.53
Net debtborrowings in excess of cash on hand$482.43M
Your ownership stake
Share-count growth vs peersHIGH DILUTION
86th pctile
Where this name's share-count growth ranks among peers. Lower is less dilutive.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE C
67 / 100
1 critical · 0 watch · 2 clear of 3 scored tests
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressCLEARZ 3.21Altman-Z in the Safe · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationNAn/aBeneish-M not available · fundamentals
LeverageCLEARLTD/E 0.53long-term debt 0.53× equity · fundamentals
Profitability qualityCRITICALF 3/8Piotroski F-score 3 of 8 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsNAn/aFiling forensics not available · forensic
5 checks, 2 clear and 1 critical. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Nov 9, 2026POOR · 21/100
Business quality
-5% return on equity, and capital earning -1% against a 13% cost.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
21 / 100POOR
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Nov 9, 2026
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
-4.7%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
ROIC − WACC spreadDESTROYS VALUE
-14.3pp
Earns -1% on invested capital that costs about 13%. A positive spread means every retained dollar compounds rather than leaks.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month-2.8%
3 months-15.6%
6 months-15.5%
Year to date-10.9%
1 year+17.9%
12-1 momentumEX LAST MONTH
+21.3%
Return over the last year excluding the most recent month — the standard momentum factor, which drops the short-term reversal.
Relative-strength rankBOTTOM 38%
38 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
Around earningsAug 13, 2026
P(beat next quarter)COHORT BASE RATE
39%
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
Beat rate · this nameBEAT ≤2 OF THE LAST 8
2 of 8
Its own record against consensus. 8 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
Fell after a beatP(FELL | BEAT)
50%
A beat is not a plan: this share of them still closed lower on the day.
Rose after a missP(ROSE | MISS)
38%
The mirror of the line above, over its own denominator.
Typical earnings moveMEDIAN ABSOLUTE
±3.1%
Unsigned magnitudes from its own prints. Direction is not part of this read.
Reaction: beat vs missData unavailableThe beat-versus-miss reaction gap is not computed for this name — undetermined — needs ≥12 measured beats.
Dividends & income
Data unavailableThis company does not pay a dividend. There is no yield, payout ratio or ex-dividend date to show, and the return case rests entirely on capital gains.
Signal
Not an income position.
No dividend is declared, so nothing here contributes to total return except the price. That is a fact about the security, not a criticism of it.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Nov 6, 2026
Downtrend · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%1,308,676
21d47%0.0%613,759
63d47%-0.9%195,225
slope -0.24 over 40 bars
Bullish engulfing · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d46%-0.4%142,690
21d47%-0.5%67,155
63d48%-0.5%21,379
green body engulfs prior red
Piercing line · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%-0.3%143,166
21d48%-0.4%67,388
63d49%-0.4%21,511
closes above prior midpoint
Double top · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%0.0%1,261,485
21d50%0.0%593,026
63d52%+0.4%187,344
two peaks ≈ equal — reversal if neckline breaks
Falling wedge · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%0.0%444,814
21d50%0.0%208,795
63d50%0.0%66,621
falling & converging — bullish
Near resistance · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d50%+0.1%546,887
21d51%+0.1%257,018
63d53%+0.4%80,717
testing recent resistance
0315-min delayed5TH OF ITS 5-YEAR RANGE
Price & timing
Price $27.93, -94.1× forward earnings, RSI 50.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Trend
Mixed1 OF 3 AVERAGES
50-day $28.18 · 200-day $29.73. Price above both is the structural definition of an uptrend.
The setup right now15-min delayed
Price · 504 sessions2024-11-04 → 2026-11-06
price50-day200-day
How to read this
Up 5.92% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
Momentum (RSI-14)COOL
50
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
Typical day (ATR-14)±5.2%
$1.46
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDABOVE SIGNAL
+0.05
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position100% OF RANGE
Upper band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE ABOVE
$25.38
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitLONG INTACT
$23.86
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
12 Nov 2026 · in 3 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number.
2026-11-10 · tomorrowInflation (CPI)A scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Pullback riskoverstretch read
Elevated1.19× segment rate · n=12,457
Historically, mid names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 95% of cases (n=12,457).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
0.8σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$24 – $263 supports
Where prior demand appeared: S1 at $25.41, Pivot low at $25.03, Pivot low at $24.73.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
0 / 100Neutral
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Signal
The odds lean, the stretch qualifies it.
Not enough fundamental coverage to score this name's red-flag cohort — no 12-month odds shown.
Valuation
Earnings yield vs cashBELOW CASH
-4.08pp
Cash pays more than the earnings yield today, so what you are buying is future growth rather than a current return.
Net cash per shareNET DEBT
$-4.53
Cash less every borrowing, per share. It is the part of the price that is not a claim on future profits.
Multiples
Forward P/EAnalysts expect a loss over the next twelve months, so there are no earnings for the price to be a multiple of.Not meaningful5yr median 225×
Trailing P/Eearnings already reported139.7×5th of its 5yr range
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets2.5×
FCF yieldfree cash flow per dollar of market value-5.36%
2 of the 3 priced multiples above sit in the richer half of its band. 1 is marked not meaningful because the figure it divides into is negative — shown as absent rather than as a low, cheap-looking number. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timingNov 6, 2026
Entryzone of pivot low + S1
$26.14Approach
Where the composer's entry sits, on its own stated basis.
TargetSma 50 + vwap 50
$28.13$28–$28
A zone, not a price. It is where the composer expects supply, not a forecast.
Stop2× ATR below entry
$23.22risk $2.92/sh
The level that says the setup is wrong, on the basis named beside it.
Risk / rewardtarget vs stop
0.68:1flagged low
Less reward than risk at these levels. The composer publishes it rather than hiding it, because a sub-1 ratio is the argument against the trade.
Measure from a price$
To the 50-day
+0.9%
short-term trend line · $28.18
To the 200-day
+6.5%
primary trend line · $29.73
To the composer's target
+0.7%
Sma 50 + vwap 50 · set Nov 6, 2026 · $28.13
To the composer's stop
-16.9%
2× ATR below entry · set Nov 6, 2026 · $23.22
To the 52-week high
+43.4%
highest print of the past year · $40.06
To the 52-week low
-22.4%
lowest print of the past year · $21.67
A typical day (ATR)
$26.47 – $29.39
±$1.46 average true range
Type any price to re-measure every distance from it. Each row is a level this page already states somewhere else, so nothing here is a new number — and none of it is a recommendation to trade at that price.
Signal
Less reward than risk at this level.
Entry $26.14 · stop $23.22 · target $28.13, a 0.68:1 ratio. The composer flagged: earnings soon, low reward to risk.
Gamma map
Data unavailableThis name has no listed options chain, so there is no dealer gamma to map. Regime, flip level, walls and the implied move all need a chain to exist.
Options tape
Data unavailableNo options chain is connected for this ticker. Max pain, the put/call ratio, the implied move and the open-interest ladder all need the chain feed.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL -1
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 62%, short interest is 5.01% of float.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
-1BALANCED · 30d
1 bull / 1 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
+1
latest EPS beat by a wide margin (low EPS base)
Quality / valueTTM · CONTEXT
-2
weak Piotroski F-score (3/8)
Signal
1 bull / 1 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to -1 over 30d, a balanced reading. 2 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street
Data unavailableNo sell-side firm publishes research on this name. There is no consensus rating, no price target and no estimate revisions to weigh — for a company this size that is the norm rather than a gap in our data.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipINSTITUTIONALLY HELD
61.7%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
2.4%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)LIGHT
5.01%
Rising — shares short changed +7.8% over 30 days. A crowded short is fuel in both directions.
Free float93% OF SHARES
100.33M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)69th PCTILE
$16.47M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayPEER COMOVE
+5.92%
SA rose +5.92% in today's session alongside 4 of 4 peers (median 4.50%) — a sector/market move, not company-specific.
Congress
Data unavailableNo congressional trades in this name have been disclosed under the STOCK Act. Lawmakers' disclosed trades cluster heavily in large caps, so an empty list is the usual state.
0519 graded callsHIGH VOLATILITY
Risk & track record
Beta 2.40, 55% annual volatility, a -40% worst drawdown, and 3 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
A very bad day (EVT)
−11.4%1-IN-200 DAY
Fitted to the tail of the return distribution rather than assuming a bell curve. Size the position so a day like this is survivable.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beyond the tail (ES)1-IN-1,000 DAY
−17.7%
The average loss on a 1-in-1,000 day or worse — deeper in the tail than the 1-in-200 figure above and further than the measured history reaches, so it reads as the scale of a crash, not a forecast of one.
Tail understatementNEAR-NORMAL
1.3×
The tail runs close to what a normal curve would predict, so volatility is a reasonable proxy for risk here — which is not true of every name.
Max drawdownWORST FALL
-40.4%
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
Beta (vs the market)AMPLIFIES
2.40
Moves about 2.4× the market over the past year.
Annualized volatilityELEVATED
55%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Neutral
Selling pressure3
Buying pressure21
Overheat26
State: neutral — No dominant short-horizon pressure in the tape.
What votes againstNightly
MedQuality / valueweak Piotroski F-score (3/8)TTM · -2
Signal
1 of 9 factors vote against.
Ranked by the size of each factor's own point contribution to the net signal — these are the model's stated reasons, not a written bear case. Each one is scored from the source named beside it.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as growth, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Suggested position capmax defensible size
2.2%tail cap binds
max defensible size 2.2% - tail binds
Avoid score6-month distress
10.7%1.3× its cohort · heavily-traded large-caps
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this heavily-traded large-caps segment: 8.0%. This name reads 1.3× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
MedPosition size, not conviction, is the binding constrainthalf-Kelly 27.2% · tail cap 2.2% · category cap 54.6%. The tail cap binds, so 2.2% is the number (n=92,785). We show which one binds rather than the friendliest.Sizing
LowLottery-ticket behaviourIts best 21-day return sits at 8.0% against a 14.4% cohort 90th-percentile threshold — below the line where forward returns have historically turned negative.Behaviour
HighCash runwayAbout 3.1 quarters of cash at current burn ($118M cash against $152M a year of burn) - names in this bucket: 26.8% catastrophe rate within a year.Solvency
LowPost-earnings driftDrift odds at full strength (+2.44% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).Timing
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
3 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 3 clear. The binding constraint is position size — the tail cap is the one that binds. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You can't sit through -40%
That is this name's deepest measured fall, on 55% annualized volatility. A drawdown of that size is normal here, not exceptional.
You want income
A 0.00% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
You're already heavy in this market
A 2.40 beta means you would be stacking the same bet rather than spreading it.
You'd be buying into earnings
A report lands in 3 days.
You'd size it like a core holding
The binding cap is 2.2% of a portfolio. Above that the tail stops being survivable.
Our track record19 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
38 logged
38 calls logged on this name, 19 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
0610-K disclosed linksGOLD MINING
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 2 connections.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
-67.9% per +1ppINSUFFICIENT
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (neutral) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
NEMCLPeer$110.000.00%
NEMPeer$125.76+4.01%
AEMPeer$200.19+4.50%
BPeer$42.38+4.49%
WPMPeer$143.63+5.37%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2023-06-01
Signal
2 of 4 backward windows are positive.
Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.
Macro driversRolling window
Next macro catalystTOMORROW
Inflation (CPI)
2026-11-10. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockNov 8, 2026
Initial jobless claimsUsually hurts when more people file for benefits than expected
A slowing economy uses less steel, copper and chemicals.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later +0.8% · Two weeks later +1.2% · Rose on 86 of 173 report days
Across the last 173 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, SA moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 1.2% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Housing starts is due in 9 days.
Housing startsUsually helps when more homes are started than expectedLumber, cement and gravel.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.4% · A week later +1.0% · Two weeks later -0.2% · Rose on 21 of 41 report days
Across the last 41 Housing starts reports since Jun 20, 2023, SA moved +0.4% on average on the day and was 0.2% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Industrial productionUsually helps when factory output comes in stronger than expected
More building and manufacturing means more demand for raw materials.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day 0.0% · A week later +1.0% · Two weeks later +1.4% · Rose on 15 of 40 report days
Across the last 40 Industrial production reports since Jun 15, 2023, SA moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 1.4% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
FOMC decisionUsually hurts when the Fed sounds more hawkish than expected
Gold pays no interest, so it loses appeal when rates rise and the dollar strengthens.
Typical for the Gold Mining industry
On the day -0.5% · A week later +0.3% · Two weeks later +1.4% · Rose on 17 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 FOMC decision reports since Jul 1, 2023, SA moved -0.5% on average on the day and was 1.4% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Job openings (JOLTS)Usually helps when job openings come in higher than expected
A busy economy uses more steel, copper and chemicals.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.1% · A week later +2.0% · Two weeks later +2.4% · Rose on 20 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Job openings (JOLTS) reports since Jul 5, 2023, SA moved +0.1% on average on the day and was 2.4% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)Usually helps when hiring comes in stronger than expected
A busy economy uses more steel, copper and chemicals.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.3% · A week later +2.3% · Two weeks later +3.7% · Rose on 23 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls) reports since Jul 6, 2023, SA moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 3.7% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
Unemployment rateUsually hurts when unemployment rises more than expected
A slowing economy uses less steel, copper and chemicals.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day +0.3% · A week later +2.1% · Two weeks later +3.4% · Rose on 22 of 38 report days
Across the last 38 Unemployment rate reports since Jul 6, 2023, SA moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 3.4% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
GDP (advance estimate)Usually helps when the economy grows faster than expected
More building and manufacturing means more demand for raw materials.
Typical for the Basic Materials sector
On the day -0.7% · A week later -0.4% · Two weeks later +1.6% · Rose on 6 of 13 report days
Across the last 13 GDP (advance estimate) reports since Jul 28, 2023, SA moved -0.7% on average on the day and was 1.6% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.
Connections2 links · none confirmed
Direct connections · 2 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
GOLD · Competitorcompetitor+1.08%Rumored · manual
BHP · Partnerpartner+3.38%Rumored · manual
0 of 2 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z
Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Piotroski F
Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.
Beneish M
Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.
Merton DTD
Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.
EDF
Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.
Price & tape
RSI-14
Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.
ATR
Average true range — the size of a typical day.
VWAP
20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.
Supertrend
A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.
Chandelier
A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Options & flow
Gamma / GEX
Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.
Call / put wall
The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.
Max pain
The strike where most options expire worthless.
13F · Form 4
Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.
Scoring
Composite signal
Independent factors scored and netted into one number.
Hit-rate
Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.
Brier score
Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.
HHI
Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.
EVT
Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.