Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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RKLB fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 10:23 AM ETVol 10.76M · 3-mo avg 19.94M

Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB)

RKLBRocket Lab Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionPCE inflation days · ~12% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 26/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$67.46
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 4.8% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$69–71
center $69.88 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.15
9.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 82% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.29×
52-week range$37.57 – $151.00
Below high since 2020-55.1% · $151.00 high
Risk / reward0.29 : 1
Plan stop$59.18
Max pain$65.00 options cluster
RSI 1450.1 fires under 35 · fires near $53.05
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple1,409.2× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-0.9% · burning cash

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 5.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
50.1
fires under 35 · fires near $53.05
vs 50-day
$70.25
below the line
Bollinger
$59.26
no lower pierce · fires near $58.21
VWAP 20
$65.42
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$67.46
below the model level
Put wall
$60.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.59
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.29×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.03
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-09
in 36 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file