Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) — Gold Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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RGLD fair-value estimate

RGLD earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.03M · 3-mo avg 670.2K

Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD)

RGLDRoyal Gold, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$263.05
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$302–307
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $304.35 · Nov 6
±$17.65
±6.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume56% above normal1.56× its 20-day average
Past year's range$170.89 – $306.25lowest to highest price
From its peak13.2% belowpeak $306.25, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.33 to 1$1.33 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$236.90the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$240.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)65.3fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.7× next year27.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 21%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 31.7×
Cash it generates-2.1%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 1.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 39% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
65.3
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$244.12
above the line · fires near $245.92
Bollinger
●
$218.75
no lower pierce · fires near $218.99
VWAP 20
●
$239.10
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $238.88
Entry level
●
$263.05
level below · fires near $265.40
Put wall
●
$200.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+3.44
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.56×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$9.87
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-17
in 68 sessions
Next dividend
0.71% yld
no ex-date on file