Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) — Travel Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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RCL fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:45 PM ETVol 627.3K · 3-mo avg 2.37M

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL)

RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionInflation-report days · ~5% bigger swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$335.30
near a support level · Nov 9
$347–354
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $350.59 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume53% below normal0.47× its 20-day average
Past year's range$222.22 – $356.39lowest to highest price
From its peak8.1% belowpeak $366.50, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.34 to 1$0.34 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$301.87the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)69.9fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit16.5× next year20.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 47%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 20.2×

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 32% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
69.9
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$275.91
above the line · fires near $277.24
Bollinger
●
$258.73
no lower pierce · fires near $253.69
VWAP 20
●
$301.17
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $300.78
Entry level
✓
$335.30
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+3.61
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.47×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$13.48
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-26
in 51 sessions
Next dividend
1.77% yld
no ex-date on file