Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) — Travel Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CCLpeers & supply-chain relationships

CCL fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 17.37M · 3-mo avg 21.72M

Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL)

CCLCarnival Corporation Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~7% smaller swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$30.66
near a support level · Nov 9
$33–34
near the 52-week high · midpoint $33.32 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume15% below normal0.85× its 20-day average
Past year's range$21.45 – $34.03lowest to highest price
From its peak59.8% belowpeak $76.71, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.80 to 1$0.80 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$27.68the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)66.4fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit12.0× next year13.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 21%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 16.2×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 4.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 34% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
66.4
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$25.28
above the line · fires near $25.39
Bollinger
●
$24.59
no lower pierce · fires near $24.06
VWAP 20
●
$28.00
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $27.97
Entry level
✓
$30.66
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.21
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.85×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.24
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-18
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
1.95% yld
no ex-date on file