Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) — Travel Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CCLpeers & supply-chain relationships

CCL fair-value estimate

CCL earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 22.08M · 3-mo avg 19.46M

Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL)

CCLCarnival Corporation Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~5% smaller swingsRiskFalling knife · 98/100 · was 64 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-251/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$22.09
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$25.27
center $25.27 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.01× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.97×
52-week range$21.45 – $34.03
Below high since 2015-71.0% · $76.71 high
Risk / reward1.90 : 1
Plan stop$20.66
Max pain—
RSI 1436.6 fires under 35 · fires near $22.12
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.6× fwd · 10.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past9th pctile · 16.2× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 74% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
36.6
fires under 35 · fires near $22.12
vs 50-day
✓
$25.37
below the line
Bollinger
●
$21.20
no lower pierce · fires near $20.95
VWAP 20
✓
$22.81
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$22.09
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.09
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.97×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.72
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-09-29
in 2 sessions
Next dividend
2.02% yld
no ex-date on file
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