Pony AI Inc. (PONY) — IT Services & Consulting. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.57M · 3-mo avg 3.75M

Pony AI Inc. (PONY)

PONYPony AI Inc.loading…
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after-hours · no prints

QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 41/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$7.05
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24 · price is 2.3% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$7.41
center $7.41 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.99×
52-week range$6.37 – $24.92
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward0.44 : 1
Plan stop$6.25
Max pain—
RSI 1444.6 fires under 35 · fires near $6.16
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiplen.m. — no profit expected
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-7.0% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
44.6
fires under 35 · fires near $6.16
vs 50-day
✓
$7.41
below the line
Bollinger
●
$6.41
no lower pierce · fires near $6.31
VWAP 20
✓
$7.02
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$7.05
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.05
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.99×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.32
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-17
in 37 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file