Polaris Inc. (PII) — Recreational Vehicles. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 609.4K · 3-mo avg 836.3K

Polaris Inc. (PII)

PIIPolaris Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$62.75
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$69–71
near a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $70.00 · Nov 6
±$4.92
±7.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume33% below normal0.67× its 20-day average
Past year's range$47.14 – $77.98lowest to highest price
From its peak61.2% belowpeak $162.49, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.13 to 1$1.13 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$56.96the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$55.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)61.7fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.2× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 13.9×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates15.5%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 1.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 33% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
61.7
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$56.55
above the line · fires near $56.99
Bollinger
●
$47.31
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$57.77
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $57.73
Entry level
✓
$62.75
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.11
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.67×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
10.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.90
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-25
in 52 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.68
ex-date 2026-12-01