Polaris Inc. (PII) — Recreational Vehicles. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

PIIpeers & supply-chain relationships

PII fair-value estimate

PII earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 143.5K · 3-mo avg 836.5K

Polaris Inc. (PII)

PIIPolaris Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+1net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
loading…
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 83/100 · was 54 on Sep 13 · as of 2026-09-170/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$55.42
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 1.8% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$66–67
center $66.24 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.52
10.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 18% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
0.97× the norm · 77% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 18% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.85×
52-week range$47.14 – $77.98
Below high since 2015-65.7% · $162.49 high
Risk / reward2.34 : 1
Plan stop$50.79
Max pain$60.00 options cluster
RSI 1428.4 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple17.5× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield16.5% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
28.4
oversold
vs 50-day
$66.10
below the line
Bollinger
$55.58
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
$61.07
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$55.42
below the model level
Put wall
$60.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.27
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.85×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
9.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.32
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-26
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
5.00% yld
no ex-date on file