Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS) — Asset Management. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PHYSpeers & supply-chain relationships

PHYS fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.26M · 3-mo avg 4.12M

Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS)

PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trustloading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 37/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$32.19
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$32–33
center $32.62 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.70×
52-week range$29.17 – $42.07
Below high since 2023-23.1% · $42.07 high
Risk / reward0.15 : 1
Plan stop$30.52
Max pain—
RSI 1444.5 fires under 35 · fires near $31.14
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple5.9× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / book0.96×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
44.5
fires under 35 · fires near $31.14
vs 50-day
✓
$32.63
at the line
Bollinger
●
$31.87
no lower pierce · fires near $31.74
VWAP 20
✓
$32.94
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$32.19
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.12
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.70×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.56
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
—
not on file
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file