Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) — IT Services & Consulting. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PENG fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.63M · 3-mo avg 2.94M

Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG)

PENGPenguin Solutions, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$55.67
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$89–91
center $89.86 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.14×
52-week range$16.04 – $89.86
Below high since 2017-37.4% · $89.86 high
Risk / reward4.51 : 1
Plan stop$48.76
Max pain—
RSI 1456.4 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags4 review
Earnings multiple15.5× fwd · 37.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past90th pctile · 35.4× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 5.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 48% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
56.4
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$53.42
above the line · fires near $53.85
Bollinger
●
$45.05
no lower pierce · fires near $44.29
VWAP 20
●
$51.03
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $51.02
Entry level
✓
$55.67
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.51
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.14×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
14.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.91
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-06
in 8 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file