Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) — Medical Devices. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PENpeers & supply-chain relationships

PEN fair-value estimate

PEN earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 336.7K · 3-mo avg 352.8K

Penumbra, Inc. (PEN)

PENPenumbra, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$317.61
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$319–321
near a resistance level, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $320.21 · Nov 6
±$0.10
±0.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Low
51% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.8× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume16% below normal0.84× its 20-day average
Past year's range$262.94 – $362.41lowest to highest price
From its peak11.9% belowpeak $362.41, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.13 to 1$0.13 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$311.57the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$360.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)45.9fires under 35 · fires near $311.95
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit51.8× next year80.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 36%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 231.2×
Cash it generates1.4%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
45.9
fires under 35 · fires near $311.95
vs 50-day
✓
$320.24
at the line
Bollinger
●
$317.71
no lower pierce · fires near $317.22
VWAP 20
✓
$321.63
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$317.61
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$370.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-0.32
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-24
in 73 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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