Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) — Integrated Oil & Gas. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PBR-Apeers & supply-chain relationships

PBR-A fair-value estimate

PBR-A earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:38 PM ETVol 5.97M · 3-mo avg 7.01M

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A)

PBR-APetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobrasloading…
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QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$18.43
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$19.70
center $19.70 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.29
7.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.81×
52-week range$10.76 – $20.05
Below high since 2023-7.6% · $20.05 high
Risk / reward1.09 : 1
Plan stop$17.44
Max pain$17.50 options cluster
RSI 1454.7 fires under 35 · fires near $16.07
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple4.6× fwd · 4.7× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield13.0% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 41% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
54.7
fires under 35 · fires near $16.07
vs 50-day
●
$17.06
above the line · fires near $17.20
Bollinger
●
$17.44
no lower pierce · fires near $17.20
VWAP 20
✓
$18.69
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$18.43
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$15.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.11
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.81×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.50
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
—
not on file
Next dividend
9.07% yld
no ex-date on file
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