Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) — Integrated Oil & Gas. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 10:00 AM ETVol 1.83M · 3-mo avg 9.74M

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A)

PBR-APetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobrasloading…
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QTick signal
+6net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileFlatInflation-report days · swings like the S&P 500OKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 61/100 · Nov 9
$16.23
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$16.90
near a resistance level, a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $16.90 · Nov 9
±$2.70
±16.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 18% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 18% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume19% below normal0.81× its 20-day average
Past year's range$10.89 – $23.79lowest to highest price
From its peak31.4% belowpeak $23.79, highest since 2023
Gain vs. risk0.34 to 1$0.34 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$14.33the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)24.2oversold
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit3.8× next year4.1× last 12 months
Cash it generates14.8%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 84% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
24.2
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$19.88
below the line
Bollinger
●
$15.40
no lower pierce · fires near $15.14
VWAP 20
✓
$20.07
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$16.23
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.66
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.81×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.95
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
—
not on file
Next dividend
8.80% yld
no ex-date on file