Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (NP) — Insurance Brokers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 9:42 AM ETVol 654.8K · 3-mo avg 719.6K

Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (NP)

NPNeptune Insurance Holdings Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 6 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 98/100 · was 68 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-250/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$27.37
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$31–32
center $31.47 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 13% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
0.98× the norm · 77% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 13% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.26×
52-week range$14.78 – $35.15
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward1.47 : 1
Plan stop$24.81
Max pain—
RSI 1429.0 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple129.1× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / bookn.m. — negative book value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 73% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
29.0
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$31.54
below the line
Bollinger
●
$26.58
no lower pierce · fires near $26.29
VWAP 20
✓
$30.42
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$27.37
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.52
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.26×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.28
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-11
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file