NOV Inc. (NOV) — Oil & Gas Equipment & Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NOV fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 2:13 PM ETVol 2.81M · 3-mo avg 3.33M

NOV Inc. (NOV)

NOVNOV Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 41/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$19.76
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$20–21
center $20.36 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.25
6.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.94×
52-week range$12.29 – $21.93
Below high since 2015-71.4% · $69.49 high
Risk / reward0.36 : 1
Plan stop$18.48
Max pain$20.00 options cluster
RSI 1440.4 fires under 35 · fires near $19.32
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple73.3× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past83rd pctile · 15.4× median
Free cash flow yield12.4% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
40.4
fires under 35 · fires near $19.32
vs 50-day
✓
$20.39
below the line
Bollinger
●
$19.68
no lower pierce · fires near $19.63
VWAP 20
✓
$20.72
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$19.76
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$19.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.16
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.94×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.64
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
1.81% yld
no ex-date on file