Halliburton Company (HAL) — $33.78 +0.43%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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HAL fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 1.56M · Avg 11.84M
HALHalliburton Company$33.78+0.43%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 8 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$33.47
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$35.16
center $35.16 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.95
5.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.13× · 1.56M vs 11.84M avg
52-week range$20.39 – $43.59
Below high since 2015-45.3% · $61.55 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.8
Plan stop$31.35
Max pain$32.00 options cluster
RSI 1451.4 fires under 35 · fires near $30.85
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$33.78
$29.19 · -13.6%-13.6%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.8% · $35.73+5.8%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
51.4
fires under 35 · fires near $30.85
vs 50-day
$35.17
below the line
Bollinger
$30.25
no lower pierce · fires near $29.65
VWAP 20
$33.03
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $33.01
Entry level
$33.47
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$32.50
OI strike below · fires near $32.64
MACD
-0.06
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.13×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
5.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.06
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
20 Oct 2026
· in 69 days
Next dividend
2.01% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed