New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) — Regulated Gas Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NJR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:02 PM ETVol 99.0K · 3-mo avg 677.8K

New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR)

NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$54.12
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$60–61
near the 52-week high · midpoint $60.28 · Nov 9
±$5.09
±9.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Low
58% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.7× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume27% below normal0.73× its 20-day average
Past year's range$43.46 – $60.86lowest to highest price
From its peak10.6% belowpeak $60.86, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.04 to 1$2.04 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$51.99the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$55.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.4fires under 35 · fires near $50.17
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit16.1× next year15.2× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 26%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 16.8×
Cash it generates-4.5%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 42% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.4
fires under 35 · fires near $50.17
vs 50-day
●
$52.46
above the line · fires near $52.94
Bollinger
●
$50.89
no lower pierce · fires near $50.55
VWAP 20
●
$53.05
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $53.03
Entry level
●
$54.12
level below · fires near $54.66
Put wall
✓
$55.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.28
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.73×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.06
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-18
in 6 sessions
Next dividend
3.65% yld
no ex-date on file