New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) — Regulated Gas Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NJR fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 1.45M · 3-mo avg 664.0K

New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR)

NJRNew Jersey Resources Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileCautionHeavy selling · 66/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$50.36
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$52.84
center $52.84 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$8.77
17.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 7% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
0.92× the norm · 72% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: hot selling
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 7% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average2.06×
52-week range$43.46 – $60.86
Below high since 2015-16.8% · $60.86 high
Risk / reward0.99 : 1
Plan stop$48.36
Max pain$55.00 options cluster
RSI 1426.4 oversold
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple15.1× fwd · 14.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past28th pctile · 16.9× median
Free cash flow yield-4.6% · burning cash

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 80% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
26.4
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$54.62
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$51.19
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$52.56
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$50.36
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.02
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
2.06×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.00
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-16
in 37 sessions
Next dividend
3.95% yld
no ex-date on file