Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) — Regulated Gas Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ATOpeers & supply-chain relationships

ATO fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.03M · 3-mo avg 1.06M

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)

ATOAtmos Energy Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 57/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$156.42
basis · evt 1m q95 + low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$159–161
center $160.00 · basis · call wall + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.72
3.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.78× the norm · 52% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.03×
52-week range$155.00 – $192.51
Below high since 2015-18.3% · $192.51 high
Risk / reward0.38 : 1
Plan stop$149.83
Max pain$160.00 options cluster
RSI 1427.7 oversold
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple17.4× fwd · 18.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past14th pctile · 21.0× median
Free cash flow yield-5.7% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
27.7
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$168.24
below the line
Bollinger
●
$154.74
no lower pierce · fires near $153.94
VWAP 20
✓
$162.64
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$156.42
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$165.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.74
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.03×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.20
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
2.54% yld
no ex-date on file