NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) — $6.98 +4.18%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

NEXTpeers & supply-chain relationships

NEXT fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.29M · Avg 2.86M
NEXTNextDecade Corporation$6.98+4.18%Pre-market$6.90-1.15%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -6 — more evidence points down than up — and the balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band, 1 accounting red flag is raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-6net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 1 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$6.95
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$7–8
center $7.52 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.66
9.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.80× · 2.29M vs 2.86M avg
52-week range$4.75 – $11.27
Below high since 2015-65.4% · $20.18 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.7
Plan stop$6.06
Max pain
RSI 1447.9 fires under 35 · fires near $6.00
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$6.98
$5.58 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+9.4% · $7.64+9.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
47.9
fires under 35 · fires near $6.00
vs 50-day
$7.56
below the line
Bollinger
$5.88
no lower pierce · fires near $5.66
VWAP 20
$6.97
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $6.96
Entry level
$6.95
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$7.00
within 0.5% of max put OI
MACD
+0.02
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.80×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
13.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.44
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
29 Oct 2026
· in 78 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
Appears in
prices 15-min delayed